Chaos theory and economics.

Doug Henwood dhenwood at panix.com
Mon Aug 10 13:19:30 PDT 1998


Rosser Jr, John Barkley wrote:


> 1) Leading candidates for true chaotic dynamics in
>economics are financial markets, and certain micro markets,
>especially such things as fisheries and ag commodities
>where there are lags (leading to cobwebs).
> 2) Linear plus noise is not much of a competito for
>financial markets in particular. The only way to salvage
>that dead horse at this point is to throw in switching
>regimes, that is to posit periodic discontinuous shifts of
>the allegedly linear function. Some linearity.

What gain in knowledge does this represent? Aside from it being neat mathematically, what does this tell us about financial markets we didn't know before?

Doug



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