FWD: Roach sees relief

Doug Henwood dhenwood at panix.com
Fri Aug 28 16:18:38 PDT 1998


DICKENS, EDWIN (973)-408-3024 wrote:


>Roach calling for an easing of U.S. monetary policy is just talking Morgan
>Stanley's book. Roach says to ease now would repeat what the Fed did in
>the wake of the 87 crash, but there is a big difference between what
>happened in 87 and what is happening now. In Oct. 87, the Fed was
>aggressively raising interest rates. In this case, the Fed hasn't raised
>rates in over a year. This suggests to me that the current situation is
>not a liquidity crisis.

And Mexico's crisis in 1994/5 also broke out after a doubling of the federal funds rate. Asia and Russia have broken with dollar interest rates steady and the U.S. money supply growing.

If it's not a liquidity crisis, does that make it a solvency crisis?

Doug



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