Policing (Re: spooky shit, a paradox & numbers)

Brad De Long delong at econ.Berkeley.EDU
Sun Jul 19 12:45:14 PDT 1998


>>From Jerome Miller's _Search & Destroy_:
>"In 1851, for example, when San Francisco had only 30,000 citizens (few
>of them black), there were 100 murders. By comparison, there were 75
>murders in San Francisco in 1984 when the city's population was

Hmmm. 100 murders for 30000 citizens... 1 murder for every 300 citizens per year... if you live in San Francisco for 30 years, you have a 10% chance of being murdered.

Seems rather high.

San Francisco in 1851 doesn't sound like a place where I would like to live.

I'm sorry, your point was?...

Brad DeLong

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