statistical fallacy of aging population?

Michael Pollak mpollak at panix.com
Fri Nov 27 17:58:43 PST 1998


It is a truism in current thought that, as populations age, fewer and fewer workers need to take care of more and more retirees. But it seems obvious that the same workers are taking care of fewer and fewer children. And if kids are dependent from 0 to 22, and retirees from 65-87, it seems likely that the ratio of workers to dependents is remaining constant.

Some one else must have thought of this before me. So where's the hole in my reasoning?

Michael __________________________________________________________________________ Michael Pollak................New York City..............mpollak at panix.com



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