Re(2): RE: Wages and Panic Buttons

Ellen Frank frank at emmanuel.edu
Thu Aug 5 13:09:09 PDT 1999


lbo-talk at lists.panix.com writes:
>
> It's important to distinguish between the NAIRU and the old Phillips
>curve. The PC is an old Keynesian idea. Crucial to the NAIRU is the
>"accelerationist hypothesis," as Joe Stiglitz called it in the passage I
>posted yesterday. And as Stiglitz wrote, the empirical evidence on the AH
>is
>"unambiguous": it's wrong. So the NAIRU must be wrong, too.
>
> Seth

Yes, this is an important distinction. One which is often not made. The NAIRU was a right-wing idea used to attack the Phillip's Curve literature (which had been associated with liberal-keynesian-full- employment policies in their Anglo variety). The idea of the PC was that reducing inflation could only be achieved by higher unemployment. Which led to an obvious policy question -- what's the "cost" of unemployment versus the "cost" of inflation? The PC was a static limited concept, but not without merit.

Ellen



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