Although the location of the ECB in Frankfurt is not enough to damage London too much, the City is more concerned about the tax harmonisation proposals which are being pushed as an important element of EMU. These include a proposal for a minimum withholding tax of 20% on interest payments, which Germany has been trying to get through Brussels for years, because of widespread tax avoidance by Germans using Luxembourg banks. The UK government has taken the line that though it would not accept a uniform tax, it could live with the proposal if an alternative could be to impose an obligation on banks to notify the authorities in the residence countries of beneficiaries of interest payments. a letter in today's FT points out that this is not just a threat to the Eurobond market, as other correspondents had previously indicated, but perhaps mainly to London's position as the interbank centre for foreign-exchange and related derivatives dealings. it claims that the administrative burdens of notification would be too great, and bank deposits might move to centres such as New York or Hong Kong.
The City is certainly running scared since Frankfurt won back domination of dealing on German Bund futures due to LIFFE's reluctance to abandon open-outcry. However, it's hard to say whether the arguments against the withholding tax proposals are justified or just hype - any views from the other side of the pond?
cheers
sol