As Ron Ziegler used to say, that statement is no longer operative. It was true going by the September 98 numbers.
New numbers (projections) apparently show large budget surpluses, with or without Social Security. None of these have been officially released yet, so I don't have 'em. The Republicans are aiming at the on-budget surpluses for tax cuts. In the economics cuckoo-land we're living in, they can say the elimination of these surpluses does not affect Social Security. (If paying down debt is what Social Security needs, then any tax cut does indeed detract from that effort.)
mbs