Stocks and GDP

Michael Perelman michael at ecst.csuchico.edu
Wed Jan 27 20:10:19 PST 1999


I do not have much to contribute to the debates about 30 year trends. However in the shorter period, I think we have to take account of the powerful forces that had shifted the distribution income and wealth so dramatically. While some of this income is used for consumption, with the decline in job security, pensions, and faith in social security, many affluent people are scrambling to accumulate wealth. Without a great deal of increase in the real physical capital that constitutes the basis for such investments, people are scrambling to invest in equities, driving stocks to astronomical heights, probably creating a bubble in the process.

-- Michael Perelman Economics Department California State University Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321 E-Mail michael at ecst.csuchico.edu



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