>So, for the rest of LBO folks who so confidently predicted a Gore win given
>the economy et al, how do you explain the closeness of the race in the end?
Decline of party? Gore's distancing himself from Clinton? His dismal personality and campaign? It was really quite an achievement to lose that election - one for the record books, in fact.
Of the previous 13 elections, the only ones the mighty LBO model failed to predict were 1960 and 1976. The prediction for 1960 was that RMN should have won by about 3 points; Gore should have won by 7. 1976 was the Watergate election, so a failure is pretty understandable.
There you have it: Gore, a bigger loser than Nixon!
Doug