election demographics

[Brad DeLong]

>At 12:10 PM 11/8/00 -0500, you wrote:
>>Max,
>>      At this point Gore is ahead by 200,000 in the
>>popular vote but apparently set to lose the electoral
>>college, with Nader votes in Florida and a few other
>>places clearly making the difference.
>
>
>i think it is pretty clear that nader didn't steal many votes in 
>florida.  1.6%  for nader.  that means that they were mostly 
>hardcore nadarites already or people who were hardcore "i hate the 
>two evils" already or people who wouldn't have voted at all, 
>disgusted by the whole thing.

Yeah. But if one out of forty Nader voters was pulled from Gore, 
that's the margin of victory for Bush in Florida.

I think that more than one out of forty Nader voters would have made 
it to the polls to vote for Gore if Nader hadn't run, don't you?

Brad DeLong