Fwd: Latest Presidential Election Numbers from www.gallup.com

Barry Rene DeCicco bdecicco at umich.edu
Tue Oct 24 06:18:09 PDT 2000

>It's been a long time since I've advocated sending *anybody* to the
>re-education camp. But a close of the Bush - Gore margin from 11% to
>2% in two days is a three-standard-deviation move. This isn't the
>first or the second three-standard-deviation move in the Gallup poll

>Brad DeLong

That may say something about polling in elections.

It also might be that ~10% of the people are changing their minds on a week-by-week basis. After all, that's what the final barrage of advertisements is all about.


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