Fwd: Latest Presidential Election Numbers from www.gallup.com

[Brad DeLong]

>  >It's been a long time since I've advocated sending *anybody* to the
>>re-education camp. But a close of the Bush - Gore margin from 11% to
>>2% in two days is a three-standard-deviation move. This isn't the
>>first or the second three-standard-deviation move in the Gallup poll
>>either...
>
>
>>Brad DeLong
>
>That may say something about polling in elections.
>
>It also might be that ~10% of the people are changing their minds
>on a week-by-week basis.  After all, that's what the final barrage
>of advertisements is all about.
>
>Barry

Such large swings are not showing up in any of the other tracking 
polls: only in Gallup...

-- 
J. Bradford DeLong
Professor of Economics, U.C. Berkeley
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