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<P><SPAN class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>August
10, 2000</FONT></SPAN></P>
<P>CENTER FOR ECONOMIC AND POLICY RESEARCH -<SPAN class=180185221-10082000><FONT
color=#000000 face=Arial size=2> </FONT></SPAN>WASHINGTON, DC</P>
<P>FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE CONTACT: Joyce Kim<SPAN class=180185221-10082000><FONT
color=#000000 face=Arial size=2> </FONT></SPAN>(202-293-5380 ext 206)</P>
<P>MONDAY, AUGUST 7, 2000</P>
<P>World Bank Research Faulted<SPAN class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000
face=Arial size=2>. </FONT></SPAN>CEPR Analysis Shows That World Bank Data
Don't<SPAN class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>
</FONT></SPAN>Support Their Conclusion That Globalization Has<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>
</FONT></SPAN>Benefited the Poor</P>
<P>WASHINGTON, DC-- The Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR)
today<SPAN class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>
</FONT></SPAN>released a study analyzing the World Bank's controversial paper,
"Growth Is<SPAN class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>
</FONT></SPAN>Good for the Poor" (March 2000).</P>
<P>The World Bank's paper (<A
href="http://www.worldbank.org/research">www.worldbank.org/research</A>)<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>
</FONT></SPAN>had claimed to show that "growth generally does benefit the<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>
</FONT></SPAN>poor and that anyone who cares about the poor should favor<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>
</FONT></SPAN>the growth-enhancing polices of good rule of law, fiscal<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>
</FONT></SPAN>discipline, and openness to international trade."<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>
</FONT></SPAN>CEPR's analysis shows that the data from the paper<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2> </FONT></SPAN>do
not support this conclusion. Among CEPR's findings and<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>
</FONT></SPAN>conclusions:</P>
<P>Economic growth in the developing world, excluding China,<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>
</FONT></SPAN>has declined dramatically over the last 20 years. "There<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2> </FONT></SPAN>is
no region of the world that the World Bank and IMF<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>
</FONT></SPAN>could claim as success stories for their policies," sai<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>d
</FONT></SPAN>Mark Weisbrot, co-director of CEPR and the principal<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>
</FONT></SPAN>author of the study. "We need further research to<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>
</FONT></SPAN>determine how much these institutions are responsible for<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>
</FONT></SPAN>this slowdown in economic growth-- a slowdown that<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>
</FONT></SPAN>hundreds of millions of poor people in underdeveloped<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>
</FONT></SPAN>countries can ill afford." In Latin America, for example,<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>
</FONT></SPAN>per capita grew by 75% from 1960-1980, whereas from<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>
</FONT></SPAN>1980-1998 it has only risen 6%. For sub-Saharan Africa,<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>
</FONT></SPAN>GDP per capita GDP grew by 36% in the first period, whil<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>e
</FONT></SPAN>it has since fallen by 15%.</P>
<P>Except for the positive correlation between economic<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>
</FONT></SPAN>growth and the incomes of the poor-- which is not<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>
</FONT></SPAN>controversial-- almost all of the statistical tests in<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>
</FONT></SPAN>the World Bank paper yield insignificant results. On the<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>
</FONT></SPAN>basis of such insignificant results, it is not possible<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2> </FONT></SPAN>to
conclude, as the World Bank paper does, that IMF and<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>
</FONT></SPAN>World Bank policies such as increased openness or anti<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial
size=2>-</FONT></SPAN>inflationary macroeconomic policies benefit the poor.</P>
<P>Even the relationship between economic growth and the<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>
</FONT></SPAN>income of the poor is not as strong as the World Bank<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>
</FONT></SPAN>paper indicates. There are numerous instances in which<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>
</FONT></SPAN>not only the poor but the majority of the labor force<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>
</FONT></SPAN>have failed to share in the gains from economic growth.<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>
</FONT></SPAN>This is true in the United States, for example, where the<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>
</FONT></SPAN>real median wage today is the same as it was 27 year<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>s
</FONT></SPAN>ago.</P>
<P>The full report, "Globalization May Be Good For the Poor-<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>-
</FONT></SPAN>But are World Bank and IMF Policies Good for Growth?" i<SPAN
class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>s
</FONT></SPAN>available at www.cepr.net , along with the executive summary.</P>
<P>For a printed copy, please contact CEPR.</P>
<P>###</P>
<P>1<SPAN class=180185221-10082000><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial
size=2>0</FONT></SPAN>15 18th St., NW Suite 200, Washington, DC 20036</P>
<P>Tel: 202-293-5380, Fax: 202-822-1199</P>
<P>Web: www.cepr.net Email: <A
href="mailto:cepr@cepr.net">cepr@cepr.net</A></P></FONT></DIV></BODY></HTML>