advances in economics (cont.)

Doug Henwood dhenwood at panix.com
Tue Feb 20 09:09:51 PST 2001


"A Hotelling-Faustmann Explanation of the Structure of Christmas

Tree Pricing"

BY: TOM VUKINA

North Carolina State University

College of Agriculture & Life Sciences

CHRISTIANA E. HILMER

Brigham Young University

Department of Economics

DEAN LUECK

Montana State University

Document: Available from the SSRN Electronic Paper Collection:

http://papers.ssrn.com/paper.taf?abstract_id=252312

Date: November 29, 2000

Contact: DEAN LUECK

Email: Mailto:lueck at montana.edu

Postal: Montana State University

Bozeman, MT 59717-2920 USA

Phone: 406-994-7870

Fax: 406-994-4838

Co-Auth: TOM VUKINA

Email: Mailto:tom_vukina at ncsu.edu

Postal: North Carolina State University

College of Agriculture & Life Sciences

232 F Nelson

Box 8109

Raleigh, NC 27695-8109 USA

Co-Auth: CHRISTIANA E. HILMER

Email: Mailto:tia_hilmer at byu.edu

Postal: Brigham Young University

Department of Economics

130 Faculty Office Bldg.

Provo, UT 84602 USA

ABSTRACT:

We examine the relationship between a tree price and a tree age

(height) using a Hotelling-Faustmann model of optimal plantation

management, which accounts for the possibility of replanting and

biological growth. The model's predictions are tested using the

data on Christmas tree prices in North Carolina collected in

December 1997. The estimates show that, in general, the rates of

change in prices between adjacent age cohorts reflect a

competitive equilibrium in the capital market thus supporting

the Hotelling-Faustmann paradigm.

Keywords: Capital theory, discrete time optimal control,

forest management

JEL Classification: D40, Q20, Q30



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