The truth about the aids panic
Brad DeLong
delong at econ.Berkeley.EDU
Fri Jan 26 07:53:35 PST 2001
> > So the 500 deaths per day reported in Kenya are a big lie?
>
>No. But common sense dictates that if the vast majority of those
>people have not been tested for the HIV infection, and they have
>not, then you cannot conclude in ANY scientifically responsible way
>that those people died of AIDS.
>
>Chris
We do *test* random samples of Kenyans to estimate the fraction of
Kenyans who are HIV-positive. To deny that spikes in prime-age
mortality in Kenya and elsewhere are due to AIDS is medically
irresponsible.
Brad DeLong
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