Pollak's Wager

[Nathan Newman]

Or an even more on target comparison of relative precautions taken or not
taken, more people will die in preventable accidents on the drive to the
airport than from terrorism in air travel.

Nathan Newman
nathan at newman.org
http://www.nathannewman.org
----- Original Message -----
From: "Michael Pollak" <mpollak at panix.com>
To: <lbo-talk at lists.panix.com>
Sent: Sunday, November 04, 2001 5:21 PM
Subject: Pollak's Wager

On Sun, 4 Nov 2001, Chuck Grimes wrote:


> Odds?
>
> Wasn't the original wager that nothing would happen and that would be
> proof that the war on Afghanistan worked?

That was Max's wager.  Pollak's wager is that fewer people will die of
Islamic-hued terrorism within the 50 United States in the next 10 years
than will be struck by lightening -- a bet meant to cast the problem to be
solved in its proper proportions.

Michael

__________________________________________________________________________
Michael Pollak................New York City..............mpollak at panix.com