New Zealand
Bill Cochrane
billc at waikato.ac.nz
Sun Oct 7 18:59:12 PDT 2001
In answer to your questions,
1/ no
2/ Restructuring was hardly a great success with most neo-libs now say
stuff like ' it might be crap but it would've been even worse without
restructuring' and even treasury has to try hard to put a positive spin on
things like productivity growth. This said NZ's dismal economic performance
cant be laid entirely at the door of the neo-libs - we've spent a large
chunk of the last hundred years trying to think of a plan that would stop
us sliding off into the bottom end of the second world. If not for the odd
fortuitous commodity boom, our previous close relationship with the Brits
and the fact that Australia is full of Australians we'd all be in small
canoes paddling like bastards for Sydney. Despite our current reasonable
performance the malaise of low productivity growth, unrealistic consumption
norms, poor levels of investment etc all still wait to scuttle us.
3/ If you want more recent data try statistics nz at
http://www.stats.govt.nz/ . Their hot of the press series has most current
data which by enlarge is the best its been for a decade or more -
Unemployment 5.2% & 2.3% GDP growth & inflation of around 3.5%. Probably
the best part of the current situation is that the growth that has been
occurring is due to the strength of the export sector rather than
consumption lead. Cullen the minister of finance gets a lot of the credit
for this due to his determination to run a low NZ dollar, round the 40-43
cent US mark. All in all the Labour / Alliance government has been cruising
along slightly to the left of its English counterpart (according to my
compass) - particularly in social policy - so we aren't to unhappy.
If you want to know anything in particular let me know
cheers
Bill Cochrane.
At 18:02 5/10/2001 -0300, you wrote:
>-I was studying the performance of the New Zealand economy after one of
>the most extensive liberalizations programs in the World, and frankly,
>I found it quite mediocre. Low GNP growth (average 2% from 1989 to 1998
>in a country whose populations grows by 1%/year), a devastating
>deterioration
>of current account balance (-7% in 1998, never saw a so ugly curve) and
>a harmful effect over industry.I don´t know the why´s of liberal euphoria
>over that country, So...
>1-Am I being too biased?
>2-Does anyone have something to add? Maybe Dennis, Doug???
>3-More recent data?
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