USA workaholics
Doug Henwood
dhenwood at panix.com
Sat Sep 1 09:37:44 PDT 2001
Lawrence wrote:
>I remember an issue of the LBO from the mid-90s in which Doug pointed out
>how much Germany and France had closed the productivity gap with America.
>Germany, in particular, was within the margin of error of the statistics and
>therefore the difference in their numbers and America's was statistically
>insignificant. Does this new report suggest that the long relative decline
>of America's productivity is over, or that the boom has temporarily masked
>the still underlying weakness?
It's pretty certain that while the U.S. strongly outgrew the EU and
especially Japan, U.S. productivity growth exceeded theirs, since
productivity is in large part cyclical. But most other countries
don't use the very flattering technique of measuring real output that
the U.S. does, so comparisons are very difficult across countries. I
don't know how the BLS handled it, but the European Central Bank and
the Bundesbank have argued that if you use similar techniques, the
gap between U.S. and EU growth rates (and productivity growth)
shrinks considerably. And, recent revisions to U.S. productivity
stats show the late 1990s to be much less miraculous than was thought
at first. So, I'd guess that U.S. productivity growth was stronger
than the other two metropoles in the late 1990s, but not by the
margin the offical numbers say.
Doug
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