Money

James Baird jlbaird3 at yahoo.com
Sat Sep 1 11:15:31 PDT 2001



>
> Why does the Fed control the price of credit money
> rather than its
> quantity? The answer is that all past attempts to
> directly control the
> money supply have resulted in unacceptably wide
> fluctuations in its
> price.
>

This is a crucial point. Despite all the talk about the fed "controling the money supply", the fact is that it's like a man holding a St. Bernard on a leash: he can pull hard enough to slow it down, he can ease up to allow it to speed up, but if the dog sits down in the middle of the road and refuses to move, there ain't a whole lot he can do. Japan has been sitting in the road for a few years now, and the U.S. is currently sniffing around looking for a cozy spot.


> The Fiscal Circuit
>
> The way the fiscal circuit relates to inflation is
> rather indirect. It
> does not involve an excess of money, but rather an
> increase in its
> velocity. As noted, any increase in funds spent by
> the government are
> always returned through increased taxes and/or bond
> sales.

At the risk being labeled a crank (and I figure what the hell, anyone who posts on this list is probably considered a crank by the larger world...) I would like to attempt once again to point out how crucial this "reverse flow" is to understanding governemt finance. Money is created when the gov spends it; it is destroyed when it is returned in taxes or in bond sales. Why does this matter? It matters because bond sales are done only to manage interest rates by controlling the money in circulation - they are NOT done to "finance" government spending (which has already happened by that point, otherwise there would be no money to buy the bonds) The conventional view is that the government goes, hat in hand, to the bond market begging them to favor it with nickles and dimes for the poor widows and orphans. That's what Bob Rubin (who, as a bond trader, had a typically inflated veiw of his own power) convinced Clinton was the case: "You must bow down before the almighty bond market! You must cut the deficit, or it will be displeased and refuse to finance all your mad liberal schemes!"

But in reality, the government couldn't care less whether or not anyone wants to buy its bonds. It already has the money. All that's happening is that people are exchanging a government obligation that doesn't pay interest (money) for one that does (bonds). If people would rather hold onto non-interest bearing cash, why should the government care?

Jim Baird

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