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<BR>not sure how relevant this is to the discussion (deleted some of the posts)
<BR>and im sorry to add to the "libertarian" contrarianism, but i am interested
<BR>in what people have to say...oh, and i apologize in advance if this turns out
<BR>to be a duplicate. having problems with my mail.
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<BR>HOW REDISTRIBUTION OPERATES
<BR>Robert Nozick, Anarchy, State and Utopia
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<BR>It has been often noticed, both by proponents of laissez-faire capitalism and
<BR>by radicals, that the poor in the United States are not net benficiaries of
<BR>the total government programs and interventions in the economy. Much of
<BR>government regulation of industry was originated and is geared to protect the
<BR>position of established firms against competition, and many programs greatly
<BR>benefit the middle class. The critics (from the right or the left) of these
<BR>government programs have offered no explanation, to my knowledge, why the
<BR>middle class is the greatest net beneficiary.
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<BR>There is another puzzle of redistributive: why dont the least well-off 51
<BR>percent fo the voters vote for redistributive policies that would greatly
<BR>improve their position at the expense of the best-off 49 percent? That this
<BR>would work against their long-run interests is true, but this does not ring
<BR>true as the explanation of their refraining. Nor is an adequate explanation
<BR>provided by referring to the lack of organization, political savvy, and so
<BR>forth, in the bottom majority. So why hasnt such massive redistribution been
<BR>voted? The fact will seem puzzling until one notices that the bottom 51
<BR>percent is not the only possible (continuous) voting majority; there is also,
<BR>for example, the top 51 percent. Which of these two majorities will form
<BR>depends on how the middle 2 percent votes. It will in the interests of the
<BR>top 49 percent to support and devise programs to gain the middle 2 percent as
<BR>allies. It is cheaper for the top 49 percent to buy the support of the
<BR>middle 2 percent than to be (partially) expropriated by the bottom 51
<BR>percent. The bottom 49 percent cannot offer more than the top 49 percent can
<BR>to the middle 2 percent in order to gain them as allies. For what the bottom
<BR>49 percent offers the middle 2 percent will come (after the policies are
<BR>instituted) from the top 49 percent; and in addition the bottom 49 percent
<BR>also will take something for themselves from the top 49 percent. The top 49
<BR>percent always can save by offering the middle 2 percent slightly more than
<BR>the bottom group would, for that way they avoid also having to pay the
<BR>remainder of the possible coalition of the bottom 51 percent, namely the
<BR>bottom 49 percent. The top group will be able always to buy the support of
<BR>the swing middle 2 percent to combat measures which would more seriously
<BR>violate its rights.
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<BR>Of course, speaking of the middle 2 percent is much too precise; people do
<BR>not know precisely in what percentile they fall, and policies are not easily
<BR>geared to target upon 2 percent somewhere in the middle. One therefore would
<BR>expect that a middle group considerably larger than 2 percent will be a
<BR>benficiary of a voting coalition from the top.* A voting coalition from the
<BR>bottom wont form because it will be less expensive to the top group to buy
<BR>off the swing middle group than to let it form. In answering one puzzle, we
<BR>find a possible explanation of the other often noticed fact: that
<BR>redistributive programs mainly benefit the middle class. If correct, this
<BR>explanation implies that a society whose policies result from democratic
<BR>elections will not find it easy to avoid having its redistributive programs
<BR>most benefit the middle class.+
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<BR>* If others count on the bottom economic group to vote proportionally less,
<BR>this will have to change where the middle swing group of voters is located.
<BR>It therefore would be in the interests of those just below the currently
<BR>benefiting group to support efforts to bring out the vote in the lowest
<BR>group, in order to enter the crucial swing group themselves.
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<BR>+ We can press the details of our argument further. Why wont a coalition
<BR>form of the middle 51 percent (the top 75 1/2 percent minus the top 24 1/2
<BR>percent)? The resources to pay off this whole group will come from the top
<BR>24 1/2 percent, who will be worse off if they allow this middle coalition to
<BR>form, than if they buy off the next 26 1/2 percent to form a coalition of the
<BR>top 51 percent. The story differs for those in the top 2 percent but not in
<BR>the top 1 percent. They will not try to enter a coalition with the next 50
<BR>percent, but will work with the top 1 percent to stop a coalition from
<BR>forming that excludes both of them. When we combine a statement about the
<BR>distribution of income and wealth with a theory of coalition formation, we
<BR>should be able to derive a precise prediction about the resulting income
<BR>redistribution under a system of majority rule. The prediction is broadened
<BR>when we add the complication that people dont know their precise percentile
<BR>and that the feasible redistributive instruments are crude. How closely will
<BR>this modified prediction fot the actual facts?
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