Bad Subjects... the Liberator: Hugo Chavez and the ... ... Chavez and his crew are taking on the inequities in Venezuela?s system. With 80% of the population living in poverty, that?s no small feat. Richard Gott?s ... http://eserver.org/bs/reviews/2001-7-12-2.20PM.html - 9k - Cached - Similar pages
Rightist at CSIS...looks like a real ravathon so...
Volume VIII, Issue XVII
October 17, 2000
VENEZUELA ALERT My Travels with Hugo A Book Review of Richard Gott, In the Shadow of the Liberator: Hugo Chavez and the Transformation of Venezuela (London: Verso, 2000). 246 pages.
Scott B. MacDonald
Editor's Note: With this issue we inaugurate a new feature - an occasional book review. These essays will highlight "should-read" publications about "need to know" subjects. Reader feedback is most welcome (Gfauriol at csis.org).
The Bolivarian World
On September 27-28th, 2000, Caracas hosted a summit for the leaders of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). While the OPEC meeting was taking place, international economic policy makers, including the G7 industrial nations, met in Prague at the annual IMF/World Bank meetings. Anyone with an interest in how the post-Cold War order is shaping up should take note: two different organizations, two different venues, and two different objectives. While it would not be fair to characterize OPEC as an anti-Western, and in particular, an anti-U.S. organization, a number of OPEC members are hardly on close terms with Washington, including Iran, Iraq, Libya, and most recently, Venezuela. In fact, it is Venezuela's leader, President Hugo Chavez, who has sought to instill greater discipline within OPEC and make it more aggressive in terms of pricing. He is also using OPEC as a leveler of what he regards as a too powerful United States. Indeed, he has stated: "The 20th century was a bipolar century, but the 21st is not going to be unipolar. The 21st century should be multipolar, and we all ought to push for the development of such a world. So, long live a united Asia, a united Africa, a united Europe." That unity is, of course, against the United States.
Who is Hugo Chavez? As he himself has stated: "Many people thought that if I became president it would mean the return of Hitler and Mussolini rolled into one. The imagined disaster has not taken place." Both Hitler and Mussolini were elected to office, but both turned their respective political systems upside down, ultimately becoming names associated with brutal totalitarianism. Some of Chavez's harshest critics have stated that he will eventually become like the mid-20th century dictators. His supporters claim that he will redress old wrongs in Venezuelan society and promote a new anti-U.S. order in Latin America.
Hugo Chavez is decidedly one of the more interesting and entertaining figures presently on the Latin American stage. A former coup leader and army lieutenant colonel, he was elected President of Venezuela in 1998. Since then, he has smashed the already dying, corrupt old order of Venezuelan politics; involved the people in the political process through a number of referendums; created a new constitution; and won re-election in 2000. Chavez's rise also signals a change in the international political structure in Latin America. While Mexico is becoming a key part of North America, and Brazil is quietly attempting to make itself felt as a leader for trade integration and democracy in South America, Chavez has opted to wave the revolutionary flag, rejecting globalization and banging the drum of old-time nationalism. He portrays U.S. political influence as overbearing and neo-liberal economics as a toxic waste- like northern export. He has developed new friendships with international statesmen of dubious reputation, in particular, Iraq's Saddam Hussein and Libya's Muammar Ghadafi, while being all aglow of his revolutionary mentor, Fidel Castro of Cuba. Moreover, he is seeking to re-ignite an old land dispute with neighboring Guyana, hardly a dagger ready to be thrust into the soft underbelly of Venezuela. He has also made known his sympathy for Colombia's Marxist-drug trafficking FARC guerrillas and called for a South American equivalent of NATO aimed at the United States.
As this charismatic and quirky character makes his march through history, it behooves us to know more. Is he an old-fashioned military dictator in the making, as his harshest critics maintain? Is he a well-intentioned Latin American populist, seeking to remold his country for the better? Or is he a would-be Fidel Castro, with a continent-wide ambition to dramatically counter- balance U.S. penetration in Latin America? Richard Gott, a veteran British journalist covering Latin America for The Guardian, has written the only book in English thus far on Hugo Chavez, In the Shadow of the Liberator: Hugo Chavez and the Transformation of Venezuela.
Gott's book is worth reading for two reasons. First, he spent time in Venezuela researching his subject and provides some valuable first hand insights. Second, his view is measurably biased in favor of his subject; consequently, it almost reads like a religious text. He describes Chavez this way: "They [the Venezuelan people] are familiar with his pugilist's face, his generous lips, his beaming grin, and the almost asthmatic tick of his mouth as he takes a breath or is caught searching for a word in rhetorical flow. He always appears decisive and radiates confidence and optimism." Gott is, if nothing else, a true believer of the revolutionary process in Latin America and brings his own sense of moral indignation every time he mentions the United States. It is worth reading a text that is so ideological yet effectively explains how many people in the upper ranks of the Chavez government perceive the world around them.
In this tale of modern day good and evil, Fidel Castro is like an uncle and "omniscient," while the domestic opposition to Chavez is painted as corrupt, unrepresentative of the people, and ruthless. Indeed, opposition to Chavez's great revolution is tantamount to being a U.S. lackey. We see evidence of the great U.S. conspiracy behind almost every event. Even the U.S. offer to provide help during the 1999 mudslides and flooding is taken as something to which the great revolutionary helmsman must respond: "When the United States sent out two ships in mid-January, laden with soldiers and earth-moving equipment, the Venezuelans said they wouldn't mind a few bulldozers, but several hundred soldiers might be overdoing it. No one voiced what many people were thinking: how could a self-styled revolutionary government possibly allow imperialist soldiers to make a practice landing on beaches just half an hour from the capital?"
Gott goes to great lengths to explain Chavez's ideological groundings. Based on the writings of the great liberator, Simon Bolivar, Bolivarianism calls for the creation of a more egalitarian society, a more active role of the military along those lines, and less corruption. Moreover, according to Gott: "The principal aim of his revolution 'is to occupy the geographic space of the country in a more harmonious and balanced way'." What this means is a shift away from the urban shantytowns of the coast and around Caracas to other parts, namely the vast interior of the country. This could be mistaken for being supportive of the Khmer Rouge's old idea of depopulating the urban centers as part of the transformation of Cambodian society (1974-1978). It also means redeveloping the country's long dormant agricultural sector, which was once vibrant but shunted aside by oil wealth.
While Bolivar reflects part of Chavez's thinking, the Venezuelan president has also drawn inspiration from Norberto Ceresole, an Argentine defined by Gott as a radical Peronista and a historian, "with roots on the left, who subsequently moved to positions more closely identified with the right." Those positions on the right have included criticism that the so-called human rights excesses during Argentina's "dirty war" was part of a "Jewish plot" against the nation and that there is a "Jewish financial mafia" behind American capitalism.
What left an imprint on Chavez was Ceresole's geopolitical thinking. The Argentine was an advocate of a Latin American alliance with the Middle East and Asia to counterbalance the power of the United States. He also provided "a number of connections with Arab governments which were to prove extremely useful." Furthermore, the Argentine also looked back to strong military leaders such as Nasser of Egypt and Ataturk of Turkey for inspiration and is an admirer, like Chavez, of Panama's Torrijos and Peru's Velasco. But, even Gott suggests that Ceresole was not necessarily all that politically correct, noting: "Yet a continuing friendship with this controversial Argentinian might have proved embarrassing, and when Chavez became president, Ceresole was conveniently spirited out of the country, and he returned to Buenos Aires."
Troubles Ahead?
While there is much about Chavez and his revolution that can be sympathized with-dealing with Venezuela's massive corruption, societal inequalities, and heavy dependence on oil-there are some major flaws in Gott's approach. First and foremost, Gott is willing to overlook the danger of someone like Chavez, a former golpista, in power. Although Chavez has made excellent use of the ballot box, he has also made skillful use of charisma and relied heavily on the military to implement policies. Charisma does not last forever and the use of the military on an extended basis in civilian circles of operations has a tendency to politicize soldiers. The fact that Chavez advocated and sought power by use of the machinegun before he was elected no doubt has not been lost on other soldiers, both from the right and left. The old saying of "He who lives by the sword, dies by the sword" is apropos in the Venezuelan case.
A second flaw in Gott's thinking is the role of the United States. While the United States has played an interventionist role in Latin America in the past (as recently demonstrated by the CIA's documents on Chile in the 1970s), the response to Hugo Chavez's revolution has been very cautious. The chumminess to Cuba, Libya, and Iraq has not triggered any firm policy shift in Washington, nor has Chavez's sympathy with Colombia's FARC. There is no massive rush to bring down Latin America's new populist messiah. Yes, Chavez's state visit to Iraq as the first head of state to do so since the Gulf war in 1991 was criticized. No, Washington did not spring into action to prevent Chavez from achieving his short-term political objectives. Some might argue that it should. However, for the moment, Washington is not that interested in venting additional problems in Latin America, especially in a key oil exporting country.
Third, Gott downplays the importance of the economy. While he glows over Chavez as a champion against globalization and neo-liberalism, he sidesteps the issue that Venezuela is entirely hooked on the ups and downs of the international economy, a situation not likely to change any time soon. Charisma has worked well in a period of higher oil prices, but when they head down, which they will, the current hazy and statist nature of Chavez's economic policies will be problematic. There are built-in contradictions in the economic reality that Chavez faces. Gott is therefore correct in making the following assertion: "In spite of all his rhetoric against neo-liberalism, Chavez is desperate for foreign investment. He has to steer a difficult and almost impossible course: telling his nationalist country what it wants to hear, and making the right kind of reassuring noises that will not frighten the foreign investors."
A critical problem is that the economic team and many of Chavez's closest advisors have strong sympathies for Marxism or are statists. There are not likely to stomach making the difficult market-oriented reforms needed to reduce dependency on oil exports, stimulate small and medium-sized businesses, or revitalize the agricultural sector. The problem here is of actually internalizing market reforms. The weight of history is against them, much as it was in the Soviet Union, Albania, North Korea and Maoist China. While Chavez has appeared enthralled with China and visited Mao's tomb, he missed the fundamental point that Asia's largest country has long since scrapped Maoism and adapted its own market-oriented economic strategy. China is even attempting to dismantle its red ink-laden state-owned enterprises. However, this accentuates the gap between economic reforms and an often-harsh political reality. This may yet sound appealing for Third World populists, but the dangers for Venezuela are also palatable.
The man operating in the shadow of South America's great 19th century liberator is likely to turn to more traditional authoritarian means to remain in power once economic pressures rise to the surface. Trouble in Venezuela, coupled with an unstable Andean region, can send jitters through the rest of South America's fragile environment of democratization and economic liberalization. This would also ultimately affect U.S. energy policy interests. Gott has closed his eyes to some of these disturbing dynamics.
About the Author
Scott MacDonald is director of research at Aladdin Capital in Stamford, Connecticut, and also editor of The KWR International Advisor, from which this lengthier review is drawn. He has previously been associated with DLJ, CS First Boston, as well as the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency in Washington. Dr. MacDonald is a CSIS Adjunct Fellow and holds graduate degrees from London's School of Oriental and African Studies and the University of Connecticut.
©2000 by the Center for Strategic and International Studies.
The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), established in 1962, is a private, tax-exempt institution focusing on international public policy issues. Its research is nonpartisan and nonproprietary.
CSIS is dedicated to policy impact. It seeks to inform and shape selected policy decisions in government and the private sector to meet the increasingly complex and difficult global challenges that leaders will confront in this new century. It achieves this mission in four ways: by generating strategic analysis that is anticipatory and interdisciplinary; by convening policymakers and other influential parties to assess key issues; by building structures for policy action; and by developing leaders.
CSIS does not take specific public policy positions. Accordingly, all views, positions, and conclusions expressed in this publication should be understood to be solely those of the authors.
This study was prepared under the aegis of the CSIS Hemisphere 2000 series. Comments are welcome and should be directed to:
CSIS Americas Program 1800 K Street, N.W. Washington, DC 20006 Phone: (202) 775-3150 Fax: (202) 466-4739 Email: jrich at csis.org
Go to other issues of Hemisphere 2000
http://www.csis.org/americas/pubs/hemfocus.htm (Duane, see the piece on Otto Reich) http://www.csis.org/americas/pubs/h001017.htm
The Guardian... www.guardian.co.uk/petrol/story/ 0,7369,578367,00.html Financial Times news.ft.com/ft/gx.cgi/ ftc?pagename=View&c=Article&cid= FT30O2TL7JC&live=true
Venezuela: Politics and Oil ... the Shadow of the Liberator, Richard Gott Verso, London , New York , 2000. favorable ... of Carlos Andres Perez, Mr Chavez and his companions attempted to ... http://www.mees.com/news/a45n10d01.htm
International Socialist Review Index:LABOR:GENERAL - LENIN ... In the shadow of the liberator: the impact of Hugo Chavez on Venuzuela and Latin America(R: Richard Gott/ Verso, $25.00, 2000, 246p)/ Bridget Broderick: 17/66; ... http://www.lpi.org.uk/idx/irindexl.htm
Revolucionchavista - [ Translate this page ] ... por un caballero inglés llamado Richard Gott, quien con esa obra ... of the Liberator, Hugo Chavez and the transformation of Venezuela, Verso. ... http://www.angelfire.com/bc2/Bolivariancommitte/ revoluci.htm