----- Original Message ----- From: "Bradley Mayer" <bradleymayer at yahoo.com>
>
> It will certainly not "be as hard as hell" for the US
> and poodle to mount the ground offensive from Kuwait.
> Like Israel, Kuwait owes its very existence these days
> to the USA, and in fact the military buildup there has
> already begun. Kuwait has no choice in this matter.
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If the SA regime tells Kuwait "our country will implode if you let the US attack Iraq from your territory" who do you really think the Kuwaiti leadership is going to listen to especially since Saddam is in no position to attack anyone?
>
> Think of Kuwait as a beachhead. It is quite possible
> to cram hundreds of thousands of soldiers + material
> into such a beachhead. That's what they did at
> Normandy (a much smaller beachhead). Given absolute
> US/poodle air supremacy, it will also be no problem to
> breakout of the beachhead and fan out in a
> north-northwesterly direction, and it should be no
> problem to drop paratroop/special ops forces to grab
> the northern Kurdish region. Baghdad will be
> surrounded on three sides.
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And clerics across the ME will call for Jihad against Israel and the SA regime before the US reaches the Iraqi border. Imagine Powell and Rumsfeld explaining on CNN why Cairo, Jiddah, Ryadh and Mecca are in flames from riots. We tend to underestimate the frustration driven millenarian-apocalyptic dynamic in contemporary Islam. That's a big mistake. So it is vitally important for the US to have at least the same level of SA support as in Desert Storm. That in turn is contingent upon UN 242 progeny being palatable to Israel. Wanna buy a bridge?
Ian