SS privatization

Yoshie Furuhashi furuhashi.1 at osu.edu
Sat Aug 17 10:10:45 PDT 2002



>Think the bear market has killed Social Security privatization? Fox
>News reports on a recent poll:
>
>>Sixty-eight percent of respondents favored private accounts, a
>>margin of well more than two-to-one. Respondents aged 30-49 rang in
>>favor of private accounts at 76 percent, ages 18-29 at 82 percent.
>>Democrats favored them 56 to 40 percent. Independents at 67-31
>>percent. White, black, Hispanic, union, conservative, moderate,
>>even self-described liberals -- all favored private accounts over
>>the current system by a margin of at least 16 percent.
>>There was no demographic group in which less than 54 percent of
>>respondents favored private accounts. The closest gap was among
>>seniors -- aged 65 and up -- and even they favored private accounts
>>by a margin of 55-40.
>
>The cultists at the Elliott Wave Theorist
><http://www.elliottwave.com> point out: "The poll was conducted this
>past July 8-12, four days when the Dow Industrials dropped some 700
>points."
>
>The bull lives on in many minds.
>
>Doug

The bull lives mainly in the minds of the rich! The poll in question was "commissioned by the Cato Institute and conducted by Zogby International," with a sample that over-represents the well off, better educated, born-again, and/or Southerners.

***** Methodology This survey of 1,205 likely voters nationwide was conducted from 5 p.m. on Thursday, July 29, through 2:30 p.m. on Monday, August 2, 1999. All calls were made from Zogby International headquarters in Utica, N.Y. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percent.

Sample Characteristics

Characteristic Frequency Percent Total 1205 100.0

East 298 24.7 South 369 30.6 Central/Great Lakes 352 29.2 West 186 15.4 <snip> Less than high school 76 6.3 H.S. education 306 25.4 Some college 365 30.3 College graduate+ 458 38.0 <snip> Roman Catholic 299 25.0 Protestant 527 44.1 Jewish 15 1.3 Other (religion) 356 29.7 Born-again 257 49.0 Not born-again 268 51.0 <snip> Less than $15,000 122 11.1 $15,000-24,999 163 14.7 $25,000-34,999 165 14.9 $35,000-49,000 209 18.9 $50,000-74,999 222 20.1 $75,000 or more 224 20.3

<http://www.socialsecurity.org/zogby/fullreport.pdf> *****

The report doesn't say so clearly, but it appears (based on the wording in the report) that the dollar figures refer to individual earnings, not household incomes. -- Yoshie

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