FT: Surplus and famine in India

Michael Pollak mpollak at panix.com
Fri Dec 20 11:53:54 PST 2002


[There was a small argument a year or so ago about whether India faced difficulty producing enough food for its people, or whether its problem was solely one of distributing the food it did produce to the people who needed it. Below is an article that makes a pretty good case that the answer is B, solely a distribution problem. The mechanism is precisely the one outlined by Amartya Sen all those years ago: it's not that there's no food; it's that the people who need the food don't have the money.]

[We have of course raised the bar a bit on the definition of famine he used in his original book, from people dropping dead in the streets to people suffering from chronic malnutrition. Admittedly, that is a sign of improvement. But I don't think there should be any doubt that this is the right measure of a famine -- that people who have chronic malnutrition are correctly referred to as starving. And the numbers involved here are staggering.]

Financial Times; December 17, 2002

BACK PAGE - FIRST SECTION: Indians starve as politicians battle to reduce food stocks

By Edward Luce

In the 1980s, the European Economic Community gained notoriety as the producer of the world's largest food mountains. That distinction is now claimed by India - much of its bumper stock is rotting in central government warehouses.

"India has all the food it needs," says a western aid official. "But half of it is currently being eaten by rats."

In the last three years, India's stockpile of rice and wheat has more than tripled to over 60m tonnes, or roughly a quarter of world food stocks. India's total grain production this year is about 220m tonnes.

The country, which, until less than a generation ago, had to rely on foreign aid to feed its people, is now a regular donor of food stocks to poorer countries. Last month, India gave 1m tonnes of wheat flour to Afghanistan.

And yet, with more than 50 per cent of India's children classified as underweight, more people suffer from chronic malnutrition in India than in the whole of sub-Saharan Africa put together. Why does India have so much trouble getting its food stocks to the country's poor?

NC Saxena, a rural development expert in New Delhi, says: "India has gone from being a major food importer to complete self-sufficiency in less than 30 years. But its system of food distribution to the poor has basically collapsed."

India's farmers are suffering from the country's worst drought in 15 years. With food stocks at levels beyond the wildest dreams of ancient Egypt's pharaohs, India has been unable to prevent starvation and severe malnutrition. In Rajasthan and Orissa, two of India's poorest states, there are frequent reports of villagers eating bark and grass to stay alive.

India's Public Distribution System, which allocates subsidised rice and wheat to those living below the poverty line, has singularly failed to find its targets.

Roughly a third of the food stocks meant for the poor are sold on the black market by corrupt officials. Much of the remainder is rotting in central government warehouses.

"More than half of India's food subsidy budget is spent on maintaining the country's stockpile of 60m tonnes," says Abhijit Sen, a leading agricultural economist. "You could not imagine a less efficient way of spending the subsidies."

In the last 12 months, the Indian government has resorted to desperate measures to reduce its food mountain. The country has become the second biggest exporter of rice after Thailand, with 8m tonnes sold off - roughly a third of global rice exports.

Foreign governments have purchased Indian rice at prices lower than or equivalent to the subsidised rate offered to the 260m Indians living below the poverty line. Even then, it is cheaper for India to sell the rice at a loss on the international markets than to keep it in stock.

"One can think of better uses for scarce Indian taxpayer resources than to subsidise rice for foreign consumers," says Nicholas Stern, chief economist at the World Bank.

India has been warned by other rice exporters that if this practice continues it may be taken to the World Trade Organisation for dumping.

New Delhi's second remedy has been to sell stockpiles of rice and wheat to the Indian private sector. But by flooding the market, the exercise has reduced market prices to the same levels as the minimum support price New Delhi offers to India's farmers for its central purchasing scheme.

Since the government guarantees that it will buy any amount of grain at its minimum support price, farmers have been offloading millions of tonnes on to the Indian taxpayer. So the food mountain keeps getting higher.

"It is a vicious circle in which the government's attempts to reduce the food stock only end up by increas ing it," says Mr Sen.

Meanwhile, India's 400,000 "Fair Price" shops - the official outlets for distribution of subsidised food - are rarely open, and, when they are, offer little edible grain to customers. "Fair Price licences are distributed by politicians to their cronies," says Mr Saxena. "These are the wrong people to tackle malnutrition in India."

So will the mountain just keep getting higher? Economists say the problem is likely to remain, or get worse unless New Delhi takes drastic steps to simplify the country's complex system of price support to its farmers.

But India's surplus producer farmers, who are concentrated in states such as Punjab and Haryana, form a powerful lobby group that would react badly to any cut in the generous price support. For the same reasons, most of India's farmers receive water and electricity free of charge.

The alternative would be to find more efficient - and less corrupt - ways of allocating the food mountain to the poor. As the effects of last summer's failed monsoon start to bite, that task is becoming increasingly urgent.

In the past few weeks the government has tried to tackle the problem by raising the minimum support price for rice and wheat to help tide farmers over the worst of the current drought.

But the measure has mostly assisted farmers in those parts of the country that are least affected by the lack of rains. In the worst hit drought areas, such as Rajasthan, farmers have little or no crop to sell.

"We need to raise the incomes of the poorest farmers and the landless so they can afford to buy food," says Mr Saxena. "Buying more rice from rich farmers is not helping very much."



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