God-ness this stuff gives me a headache.

pms laflame at aaahawk.com
Mon Jun 17 08:07:11 PDT 2002


I'm confused. Don't bonds go down when interest rates go up? The gold-bugs talk a lot about the ZAR and the AUD. I find it interesting that at first both currencies strengthened along with the Euro when the USD went down, which seemed to cut into the hyper-performance of SA gold mining stocks where the spin has been that they sell gold for dollars but pay wages in cheap rand. Then a coupla weeks ago the rand started weakening in a total disconnect from the dollar action (or rather, a new connect) In fact with the Mexican peso I was wondering if all the countries that have a lot of gold assets might be weakening against the dollar, for some reason(wink-wink). Seems we're going after Venezuela again too. Hmm. Water in Uganda. Maybe it's a Basic Commodities Rush. Who knows. But there's a message in them there currency fluctuations. ----- Original Message ----- From: Charles Jannuzi <b_rieux at yahoo.com> To: <lbo-talk at lists.panix.com> Sent: Monday, June 17, 2002 12:50 AM Subject: Re: God-ness this stuff gives me a headache.


> Just tying up a few things that go with this
> title.
>
> Well, I bought diversified holdings in bonds and
> I bought the Australian dollar when it was worth
> 47 cents. So let's see if these two ponies will
> take me for a ride! BTW, the cheap AUS DOLLAR was
> one of the big reasons the Australian economy has
> boomed. In modern economic terms, think of a
> cheap currency as a great way to export deflation
> if most everything else is in order for the new
> financial regimes.
>
> Now as interest rates go up, so too will the
> value of the Aus$. The Australians certainly
> aren't happy about the big 'f you' the US just
> sent the Cairns group with its enormous
> agricultural subsidy program.
>
> And for all the back and forth goings on with the
> US dollar, I can tell you, it's staying cheap
> versus the yen.
>
> Charles J
>
>
>
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