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First, the money those people are getting as part of their salaries
is worth half its nominal value a second later they get it (without inflation);
so there is no boost in demand, believe or not....
<p>Second, what NK is suggesting (and SHE IS RIGHT) is that ALL OF THE
ARGENTENIANS WHO NOW ARE GETTING part of their salries in local (provincial)
currency WILL NOT BE PAID IN <b><i><u><font size=+3>ANY</font></u></i></b>
<br>CURRENCY AT ALL IF IMF'S RECOMMENDATIONS ARE FOLLOWED, AND THAT WILL
BE WORST THAT A <b>POTENTIAL HYPERINFLATION, DONT YOU THINK<font size=-1>?</font></b>
<p>Of course if you have someone like former Pres. Menem telling everyone
and at everymoment that hyperinflation is around the corner....then you
may have a few points of inflation.
<p>Brad, would you consider likely a hyperinflation scenario in today's
Argentina??? 80% excess capacity, depressed salaries, no money around,
no markets for exports, no investment......where is the dumb inflation
going to come from ?? just speculation??? Some industries are augmenting
production instead of prices, oil industries are in battle with President
Duahlde to increase gas prices due to devaluation....that is pure specualtion.
So I dont see hyperinflation (rising prices more than 15% montly during
1 year or more) around the corner....
<p>We need to go beyond pure Economics here..It does not take much of my
imagination to imagine a different country.......
<br>
<p>Bradford DeLong wrote:
<blockquote TYPE="CITE">>'IMF Go To Hell'
<br>>The people of Argentina have tried the<BR>
<br>>IMF approach; now they want it their way
<br>>NAOMI KLEIN
<br>>
<br>>...What does the IMF, in town to set conditions for releasing $9-billion
in
<br>>promised funds, have to do with the fate of these people? Well, here
in
<br>>a country where half the population now lives below the poverty line,
<br>>it's hard to find a single sector of society whose fate does not somehow
<br>>hinge on the decisions made by the international lender.
<br>>
<br>>Librarians, teachers and other public sector workers, who have been
<br>>getting paid in hastily-printed provincial currencies (sort of
<br>>government IOUs), won't get paid at all if the provinces agree to
IMF
<br>>demands to stop printing this money. And if deeper cuts are made to
the
<br>>public sector, as the IMF also is insisting, unemployed workers who
<br>>account for between 20 and 30 per cent of the population, will have
even
<br>>less protection from the homelessness and hunger that has led tens
of
<br>>thousands to storm supermarkets demanding food...
<p>If you have eight different provinces each printing money that
<br>circulates throughout the country, each province will print a hell
of
<br>a lot of money--the real resources to pay the librarians, teachers,
<br>and other public sector workers come from reducing the value of money
<br>balances in the hands of the rest of Argentina's citizens, and so
<br>printing money is a way for each province to fund its spending by
<br>taxing others' citizens.
<p>Seems to me that what Naomi Klein is calling for is an immediate
<br>hyperinflation in Argentina. Does she know it?
<p>Brad DeLong</blockquote>
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