>Why stick around? Why not go back?
I believe that Wojtek will stick around because he is a contrarian -- he goes out of his way to avoid an increasing trend.
***** ESTIMATES, FISCAL YEAR 2000 This report will appear as a chapter in the forthcoming _2000 Statistical Yearbook of the Immigration and Naturalization Service_. All references to Appendixes, Charts, Tables, and other sections of the _Statistical Yearbook_ appear as they will in the final Yearbook edition.
...The collection of statistics on emigration from the United States was discontinued in 1957; no direct measure of emigration has been available since then. Estimates compiled in this country and statistics collected in other countries indicate that emigration from the United States has increased steadily since the 1950s, exceeding 100,000 per year since 1970. These figures are consistent with U.S. historical experience; between 1900 and 1990, approximately 38 million immigrants were admitted, and an estimated 12 million foreign-born persons emigrated.1 That is, for every 100 immigrants admitted, approximately 30 returned home (see Table M).
During the 1995-97 period, the U.S. Bureau of the Census used an annual emigration figure of 220,000 foreign-born (and 48,000 native-born) for computing national population estimates. Statistics on U.S. residents migrating to other countries published by the United Nations and the Economic Commission for Europe show that emigration from the United States is likely to be well above 200,000 annually....
The Census Bureau's assumptions yield an annual emigration trend from 252,000 in 1991 to 278,000 in 1998, the base year for the projections. Approximately 300,000 are projected to emigrate annually in the 2000-2005 period. In the longer run, emigration is projected to increase steadily with the growth of the foreign-born population, finally reaching a projected annual level of more than 500,000 in the year 2100. The juxtaposition of constant in-migration with increasing emigration throughout the last 70 years of the next century yields a decline in the numerical level of annual net migration to the United States, and an even greater decline in the impact of this component relative to overall population size....
<http://www.immigration.gov/graphics/shared/aboutus/statistics/Est2000.pdf> *****
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