[lbo-talk] Bush demographics

Doug Henwood dhenwood at panix.com
Tue Aug 5 06:13:04 PDT 2003


An interesting table from Gallup that characterizes Bush's re-election support against a generic Democrat. Columns show support for Bush, the Dem, the difference between the two, the number in the sample, and a column I added that shows that N as a percent of the total sample (a rough approximation of their share of the pop). Race and religion are pretty important...

generic % of

Bush Dem net N= samp White Conservative Republicans 95 2 93 627 18% White Male Republicans 93 4 89 477 14% Southern Republicans 92 5 87 402 12% Midwestern Republicans 91 5 86 242 7% All White Republicans 91 5 86 964 28% White Female Republicans 89 6 83 487 14% Total Republicans 89 6 83 1091 32% Eastern Republicans 84 6 78 229 7% Western Republicans 85 10 75 218 6% White Moderate/Liberal Republicans 83 10 74 334 10% White Male Conservatives 81 13 68 543 16% All White Conservatives 76 17 59 1078 32% White Female Conservatives 70 21 49 535 16% Total Conservatives 68 24 44 1343 40% White Male Independents 53 29 24 474 14% Southern Independents 50 27 23 349 10% White Male Moderates 53 33 20 455 13% All White Independents 48 31 17 950 28% All White Moderates 50 36 14 977 29% Total Independents 44 34 10 1245 37% White Female Independents 44 34 10 476 14% White Female Moderates 47 38 9 523 15% Western Independents 42 35 8 293 9% Midwestern Independents 42 35 7 316 9% Total Moderates 44 41 3 1312 39% Eastern Independents 41 41 0 287 8% White Male Liberals 26 61 -35 220 6% All White Liberals 23 66 -43 513 15% Total Liberals 21 67 -46 704 21% White Female Liberals 21 69 -48 293 9% White Conservative Democrats 19 71 -52 165 5% White Male Democrats 17 75 -58 277 8% Southern Democrats 14 79 -65 333 10% Western Democrats 14 79 -65 230 7% All White Democrats 14 79 -65 671 20% Total Democrats 13 80 -67 1053 31% Eastern Democrats 12 80 -68 258 8% White Moderate/Liberal Democrats 12 82 -70 501 15% White Female Democrats 11 82 -71 394 12% Midwestern Democrats 10 83 -73 229 7%

White Males Who Attend Church Weekly 71 20 51 283 8% All White Weekly Churchgoers 67 24 43 696 21% White Males Who Earn $50,000-$74,999 66 23 43 288 8% White Male College Graduates 67 24 43 181 5% White Males Who Attend Church Almost Wee 68 25 43 126 4% White Males Who Attend Church Monthly 64 22 42 140 4% White Male Southerners 66 24 42 378 11% All White Southerners 65 26 39 779 23% White Males Aged 18 to 29 65 26 39 224 7% White Females Who Attend Church Weekly 64 26 39 412 12% All Whites Earning $50,000-$74,999 64 28 36 523 15% White Males With High School Education o 63 28 35 467 14% White Males Aged 50 to 64 62 29 33 324 10% All Whites Who Attend Church Almost Week 61 28 33 304 9% White Males Aged 30 to 49 61 28 33 504 15% White Males Who Earn $30,000-$49,999 63 31 32 314 9% White Males With Some College Education 60 28 32 401 12% All White Men 60 30 30 1227 36% All White 18- to 29-Year-Olds 60 30 29 422 12% White Male Midwesterners 59 30 29 316 9% All Whites With Some College Education 59 30 29 842 25% White Males Who Earn $75,000 or more 59 31 28 347 10% All White College Graduates 59 31 28 373 11% White Females Who Earn $50,000-$74,999 60 33 27 235 7% All White 30- to 49-Year-Olds 58 32 26 1027 30% While Male Easterners 59 33 26 275 8% White Females With Some College Educatio 58 32 26 440 13% White Males Who Earn $20,000-$29,999 57 32 25 115 3% All Whites Earning $75,000 or More 58 34 24 609 18% All Whites Who Attend Church Monthly 56 33 23 307 9% All Whites With High School Education or 55 32 23 1002 30% All White Adults 55 34 21 2585 76% All White 50- to 64-Year-Olds 55 34 21 653 19% White Males Who Seldom Attend Church 56 35 21 410 12% All Whites $30,000-$49,999 56 35 21 659 19% White Male Westerners 55 35 20 258 8% White Females Aged 30 to 49 55 35 20 522 15% White Females Aged 18 to 29 54 35 19 197 6% White Females Who Earn $75,000 or more 57 37 20 262 8% All Whites Earning $20, 000-$29,999 50 32 18 307 9% White Females Who Earn $20,000-$29,999 47 32 15 191 6% All White Midwesterners 51 37 14 673 20% White Females College Graduates 52 38 14 190 6% All White Easterners 51 37 14 608 18% All White Women 50 38 12 1357 40% White Females With High School Education 48 36 12 535 16% White Males Who Never Attend Church 50 38 12 257 8% All White Westerners 50 39 12 525 15% All Whites Who Seldom Attend Church 50 40 10 749 22% White Females Who Earn $30,000-$49,999 49 39 10 345 10% White Males Aged 65+ 50 40 10 169 5%

SAMPLE AVERAGE 49 39 10

White Females Aged 50 to 64 49 40 9 329 10% White Males Who Earn Less Than $20,000 50 41 9 105 3% White Males With Postgraduate Education 49 42 7 177 5% White Female Easterners 45 41 4 332 10% All Whites Aged 65 and Older 45 42 3 467 14% White Females Who Attend Church Monthly 41 41 0 169 5% White Females Who Seldom Attend Church 46 46 0 338 10% White Females Who Never Attend Church 49 49 0 248 7% White Female Midwesterners 43 43 0 355 10% White Female Southerners 27 27 0 401 12% White Female Westerners 42 42 0 267 8% White Females Aged 65+ 43 43 0 297 9% All White Who Never Attend Church 42 44 -2 505 15% All Whites Earning Less Than $20,000 43 45 -2 353 10% All Hispanic Adults 42 47 -5 207 6% All Whites With Postgraduate Education 43 49 -6 362 11% White Females Who Earn Less Than $20,000 40 47 -7 248 7% White Females Who Attend Church Almost W 30 40 -10 178 5% White Females With Postgraduate Educatio 37 57 -20 186 5% Black Men 10 70 -60 155 5% All Black Adults 10 74 -64 360 11% Black Women 11 77 -66 205 6%

total sample 3394



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