[lbo-talk] Single payer initiative results in Oregon and Ca.

Michael Pugliese debsian at pacbell.net
Mon Aug 11 18:20:30 PDT 2003


Measure 23 in Oregon in 2002, 204,082 21% Yes

786,768 79% No

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/1998/states/CA/polls/CA94OH.html 1994 CALIFORNIA EXIT POLL RESULTS

OTHER STATEWIDE RACES

HORIZONTAL RESULTS ONLY

NUMBER OF RESPONDENTS = 1749

TOTAL YES NO PROPOSITION 186: SINGLE-PAYER HEALTH SYSTEM

FINAL STATEWIDE RESULTS -- 27 73

VOTE BY SEX ALL MEN 50 26 74

ALL WOMEN 50 27 73 VOTE BY SEX - WHITES ONLY WHITE MEN 50

24 76

WHITE WOMEN 50 24 76 RACE WHITE 77 24 76

AFRICAN-AMERICAN 8 33 67

HISPANIC 10 37 63

ASIAN 4 33 67

OTHER 1 AGE 18-29

14 28 72

30-44 36 26 74

45-59 25 29 71

60 OR OLDER 25 27 73 TOTAL FAMILY INCOME IN 1993 LESS THAN $15,000

9 36 64

$15-30,000 18 32 68

$30-50,000 29 28 72

$50-75,000 26 21 79

$75-100,000 10 25 75

OVER $100,000 9 22 78 EDUCATION NO HIGH SCHOOL DEGREE

6 25 75

HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATE 17 26 74

ATTENDED COLLEGE/NO DEGREE 34 25 75

COLLEGE DEGREE/NO POST-GRAD 28 25 75

POST-GRADUATE TRAINING 16 34 66 DO YOU HAVE A COLLEGE DEGREE? NO 56 25 75

YES 44 29 71 PARTY ID -- DO YOU USUALLY THINK OF YOURSELF AS A: DEMOCRAT 40 39 61

REPUBLICAN 40 14 86

INDEPENDENT/OTHER 20 30 70 1992 PRESIDENTIAL VOTE CLINTON 47 41 59

BUSH 33 11 89

PEROT 15 17 83

OTHER 1 DID NOT VOTE

4 POLITICAL IDEOLOGY LIBERAL

20 47 53

MODERATE 44 26 74

CONSERVATIVE 37 16 84 RELIGION - ALL VOTERS PROTESTANT 29 18 82

CATHOLIC 29 28 72

OTHER CHRISTIAN 20 24 76

JEWISH 4 OTHER

9 37 63

NO RELIGION 10 38 62 RELIGION - WHITES ONLY WHITE PROTS/OTHER CHRISTIAN 51 18 82

WHITE CATHOLICS 26 23 77 FAMILY FINANCIAL SITUATION COMPARED TO 1992

BETTER 23 26 74

WORSE 27 25 75

SAME 49 28 72 CURRENTLY EMPLOYED 65 27 73

WORKING WOMEN 30 28

72

CURRENTLY MARRIED 54 24

76

WHITE MEMBERS OF THE RELIGIOUS RIGHT POLITICAL MOVEMENT 5 13 87

VICTIM OF CRIME IN LAST YEAR 8 22

78

GUN OWNERS 23 19

81

ECONOMIC CONDITION OF YOUR STATE IN 1994 EXCELLENT 1 GOOD 18 32 68

NOT GOOD 59 26 74

POOR 21 25 75

This is the html version of the file http://www.kff.org/content/archive/1026/elecca.pdf. California Election Night Survey On Ballot Initiatives Anti-government Mood Defeats Proposition 186 A Perception That Undocumented Persons Use Costly Services Drives Vote For Proposition 187 Embargoed for release: 12:00 p.m. EST, Tuesday, November 15, 1994 For more information contact: Matt James or Tina Hoff Menlo Park, CA -- A Kaiser/Harvard survey of Californians in the 1994 election has found that the principal reason voters rejected Proposition 186, the state single payer initiative, was their concern that it would give government too much control of the health care system. These findings echo results from national surveys, which show a broad anti-government mood in the country. The Kaiser/Harvard survey also looked at California voters opinions on Proposition 187, a proposal to limit services to undocumented persons and Proposition 188, a proposal to override local anti-smoking laws funded primarily by tobacco interests. Proposition 186 By a margin of almost three to one (73 percent against and 27 percent in favor), Californians voted against the single payer plan. Fifty-seven percent of those who voted against Proposition 186 cited too much government involvement as the primary reason for their vote. Approximately one third of those who voted against the plan thought that the proposal 1 of 4 2/26/97 5:42 PM The Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation http://www.kff.onlinemagic.net/health_policy/data/html/state/elecca.html Page 2 would decrease the quality of their medical care (15 percent) or would increase the cost of their health care (14 percent). "The themes struck by the opponents of the single payer initiative resonated loud and clear with California voters," said Matt James, Vice President, Kaiser Family Foundation. "With the anti-government mood so strong, the timing for Proposition 186 could not have been worse." "Results of California voters show very definitively that though Americans see many things wrong with the health care system, they are ultimately not willing to turn the solution over to public sector agencies. Arguments about the success of either Medicare or our neighbors to the north fall on deaf ears in a climate where Americans have such little faith in their government," said Dr. Robert Blendon, Professor and Chairman of the Department of Health Policy and Management at Harvard University. Among those who voted for Proposition 186, most said they did so because everyone in the state would have health insurance (39 percent). The next highest reason provided was because they believed the "health care system would be fairer" (16 percent). Only 15 percent gave "eliminating the role of insurance companies," a major theme in the proponents' campaign, as the reasoning behind their vote. Republicans (95 percent), conservatives (82 percent) and business people (80 percent) were among the groups who most strongly opposed Proposition 186. Hispanics (64%), those uninsured (58 percent) and Democrats (54 percent) were among the groups who most strongly supported the single payer initiative. Proposition 187 Californians passed Proposition 187 (59 percent in favor and 41 percent against), a proposal to limit services for undocumented persons. What has not been available to date is what voters' principal reasons were for supporting this measure. The poll shows that the most important reason (61 percent) given by those who voted for this proposition was the belief that undocumented persons use services that cost 2 of 4 2/26/97 5:42 PM The Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation http://www.kff.onlinemagic.net/health_policy/data/html/state/elecca.html Page 3 citizens too much money. The second most important reason (27 percent) were those who believed that "we have to do something to stop the flow of illegal immigrants into our country." As reported, a minority of voters cast their ballots against this measure. Of those, 38 percent said that the fact that it would have been unfair was the primary reason they voted against 187. The second most important reason among opponents (25 percent) was a concern about the potential problems the children of undocumented persons may face if they were excluded from public schools. Our survey showed that Republicans (73 percent) and business people (64 percent) were among the groups most in favor of Proposition 187, and that Hispanics (94 percent) and Democrats (71 percent) were among the groups most opposed to the proposal. Women (56 percent), liberals (85%) and National Public Radio listeners (63 percent) also opposed the proposal, while men (67 percent), conservatives (76 percent) and Rush Limbaugh listeners (72 percent) generally supported the proposition. Proposition 188 Californians rejected Proposition 188 (70 percent against and 30 percent in favor), a proposal to override local anti-smoking laws by a statewide provision. Among those most strongly opposed to Proposition 188 were people in households in which someone worked in the health care field (77 percent), liberals (73 percent) and women (68%). Those most strongly in favor of the provision were Hispanics (53 percent), Rush Limbaugh listeners (46 percent), and those with lower incomes (44 percent). Our survey found that 77 percent of Californians had seen or heard advertisements in favor of Proposition 188. Of these respondents, 85 percent correctly stated that tobacco interests had put up the most money to support this pro

-- Michael Pugliese



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