One Third Re: Poor White Republicans

[Wojtek Sokolowski]

Yoshie:
> 
> We'll aim for getting about one third of white male workers on our 
> side -- that's plenty, given the experience of the American 
> Revolution:
> 
> *****   Figures on public opinion in the Revolution are obviously 
> mere guesswork, but John Adams estimated that one third of the 
> colonials were Loyalists; probably another third were neutral, 
> apathetic, or opportunistic.  The Loyalists were strongest in the far 
> southern colonies -- Georgia and the Carolinas -- and in the Middle 
> Atlantic colonies, especially New York and Pennsylvania.  In those 
> places particularly the fighting became bitter civil war with raids 
> and reprisals.  <http://www.bartleby.com/65/lo/Loyalist.html>   *****
> 
> One third of them will probably join our enemies whatever we do.

This is probably underestimation.  Today the enemy has much
sophisticated and powerful means to coerce or induce people to their
side.  My estimation is that the figures showing support for the war are
probably indicative of the share that will join the enemy if (or when)
US political institutions become destabilized.  My guess is about 60%
joining a hard-core nazi-like nationalistic movement (no doubt, a good
share of them for opportunistic reasons), 30% undecided or apathetic,
and no more than 10% supporting the progressive side (that is, before it
becomes silenced and locked up in concentration camps).

Wojtek