super bowl indicator

Doug Henwood dhenwood at panix.com
Mon Jan 27 08:18:19 PST 2003


According to MarketHistory.com:


>The NFC's Tampa Bay Buccaneers defeated the AFC's Oakland Raiders in
>Sunday's Super Bowl. How do stocks perform in years when the NFC
>champions prevail?
>
>The tables below show the performance of the Dow Jones Industrial
>Average and the S&P 500 index (SPX) through the end of the year that
>the NFC wins the Super Bowl (Table 1) versus the years when the AFC
>has won (Table 2). As you can see from the aggregate statistics in
>each table, the bulls seem to like it when the NFC wins. In the 20
>years the NFC has claimed the Super Bowl title, the Dow has rallied
>to the year's end by an average of 15.0% in all but two of the years
>(1987 and 1994, where they declined by 8.0% and 3.6%, respectively.)
>The S&P has seen gains averaging 15.8% in the 17 years where there
>were rallies after an NFC win.
>
>It's a dead heat contest between the bears and the bulls when the AFC wins.



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