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--></style><title>Couple of war rants from today's
paper</title></head><body>
<div
>http://www.theage.com.au/text/articles/2003/02/01/1043804571285.htm<br
>
<br>
Truth is a casualty even before the war begins<br>
</div>
<div>Melbourne Age<br>
February 2 2003<br>
<br>
<br>
By Morag Fraser<br>
<br>
Truth is going to be hard to come by in the next few weeks, and even
harder if/when we go to war. Which makes any signal instances of it
all the more precious.<br>
<br>
Kerry O'Brien tried hard for a morsel of it on Tuesday night when he
interviewed US Deputy Defence Secretary Paul Wolfowitz on the ABC's
7.30 Report.<br>
<br>
Wolfowitz, fresh from President George Bush's State of the Union
address, was in high rhetorical mode. He deflected O'Brien's first
question - about whether we were now closer to war - with a barrage of
sophisticated evasion.<br>
<br>
O'Brien let the words go through to the keeper and simply repeated his
question. Wolfowitz, smart as he is, looked nonplussed. Almost
insulted. Some jumped-up Australian journalist was not receiving his
every word as gospel and he clearly didn't like it. O'Brien was
requiring him, with some of the polite insistence that is his
trademark, to tell us the truth.<br>
<br>
No truth was forthcoming, of course. And O'Brien is not naive enough
to have expected a man of Wolfowitz's standing in the US
administration to break ranks on such a night, or any night. But he
had him on the run.<br>
<br>
It is revealing to watch a highly intelligent politician refusing to
tell the truth. You get an uneasy but very definite sense of just how
managed information is these days, how little we are told, and what
scant help - in the form of crucial facts - we are given so we can
make our own democratic decisions about supporting or opposing a war
against Iraq. That is the point of course: we are not supposed to make
our own decisions.<br>
<br>
When O'Brien pushed questions about the possible use of nuclear
weapons (there has been enough loose talk of nuclear "bunker
busters" to warrant the question), Wolfowitz detached his
microphone and moved abruptly to his next interview - with influential
Arab broadcaster al-Jazeera. Maybe his precious time was up. Maybe he
didn't like the forthright interviewing style of the veteran
Australian journalist. Only minutes before, he'd been listening to the
ovations that greeted every cadence of his President's address. And
now he was at the sticky end of an intelligent interrogation - coming
from that same country whose Prime Minister was, as Wolfowitz
emphasised, standing four-square with the US President. Things like
that aren't meant to happen.<br>
<br>
It was eloquent television.<br>
<br>
Nelson Mandela didn't need television. His uncompromising attack on
the policies of the Bush administration and on the man himself - Bush
has no foresight, he cannot think properly - were such a departure
from his usual mode of politic courtesy that they ricocheted around
the world in seconds.<br>
<br>
Catharsis: you don't often get it in politics. Mostly it's the
merry-go-round, with its circular reasoning and dizzying ride.
Mandela, whether you agreed with his stance or not, said something he
manifestly believed. And that in itself was a relief. He said what so
many also believe, and with reason: this proposed war has not been
thought through properly (let alone honestly). The debate is now
irretrievably boxed in by the political imperatives of the US and the
UK.<br>
<br>
Yes, Saddam is a vicious tyrant who probably has weapons of mass
destruction. But he has been that/had them all along. And he has also
been a target of the US administration for a very long time. As a
Fairfax Washington-based journalist, Peter Hartcher, reports, US
Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld asked, the very day after September
11, "why shouldn't we go against Iraq, not justal-Qaeda?"
(Hartcher takes his quotation from journalist Bob Woodward, who had
access to the official transcripts.)<br>
<br>
There was no proved connection between Iraq and al-Qaeda terrorism on
September 12. There is none now. If we are to be provided with proof
by Secretary of State Colin Powell next week, why has it been so long
coming? Intelligence security reasons? Not good enough, when so many
lives are at stake.</div>
<div><br>
No wonder public support for the Bush/Blair line is so shaky. Nothing
is clear, and the end of this proposed conflict is unknowable. About
the only certainty is that we will not see an immediate transition to
democracy in the countries of the region, and many people will
die.<br>
<br>
Mandela had time enough on Robben Island to think long term and to see
far ahead. If his words don't serve to forestall war, then we might
remember them when we have to deal with the consequences.<br>
<br>
Morag Fraser is editor of Eureka Street. E-mail:
morag@jespub.jesuit.org.au</div>
<div><br></div>
<div><br></div>
<div
>http://www.theage.com.au/text/articles/2003/02/01/1043804571291.htm</div
>
<div><br></div>
<div>It's Bush the obscurer, not Saddam the feuhrer</div>
<div><br>
Melbourne Age</div>
<div>February 2 2003</div>
<div><br>
Contempt for international law and the order it sustains is what
defines a rogue state.</div>
<div><br>
By Ray Cassin<br>
<br>
You know that a lot of people don't want you to notice what's new in
the world when they keep talking about what's old in the world. The
people who keep raising the topic of Hitler, the 1930s and the danger
of appeasing dictators, for example, in order to justify an invasion
of Iraq.<br>
<br>
Political life is lived in history, and understanding politics
requires a historical sense. But this obvious truth means that when
the past is conjured up to illumine the present, the comparison must
be accurate. If it is not, the result will be obfuscation, not
illumination. And now that George Bush has decreed that the countdown
to war must be measured in weeks rather than months, the obfuscators
are working overtime.<br>
<br>
Yes, Saddam Hussein is a brutal dictator, just as Hitler was. And yes,
he has in the past threatened his neighbours, just as Hitler did.
Unlike Hitler in the 1930s, he has not got away with it. In 1980, he
invaded Iran and the result was a lot of dead Iranians and Iraqis, but
no territorial gain. In 1990, he invaded Kuwait, and seven months
later a UN-sanctioned coalition evicted him. Since that second Gulf
War, Iraq has been subject to a policy of military containment,
including regular bombing sorties, trade embargoes and the recently
revived UN weapons inspectorate.<br>
<br>
As a dictator with plans for territorial expansion Saddam Hussein has
caused a lot of misery, but he has been spectacularly unsuccessful.
Iraq has not invaded anywhere since the 1991 Gulf War, and is not
threatening to do so. The policy of containment has ensured that it
cannot do so. There is no parallel with Europe in 1938, because the
US-led coalition has done what Chamberlain and Daladier failed to do
when Hitler annexed Czechoslovakia. It has resisted the dictator, not
appeased him.<br>
<br>
So why does the US now insist that containment is not enough? That the
dictator must be deposed as well? And, that if the UN will not endorse
this course of action, the US and its more compliant allies such as
Britain and Australia will go ahead and do it anyway, treating
international law with contempt?<br>
<br>
These remain the crucial questions, and we are not getting answers to
them. We are getting only the obfuscatory attempts to portray a
defeated tinpot dictator as another Hitler in the making, and a
promise that, on Wednesday, when Colin Powell visits the UN to unveil
what US intelligence knows about the tinpot dictator, the danger will
be understood. Perhaps, but one wonders why, if the danger is so
great, we haven't been told before now. Another question with no
answer. George Bush has told us what he wants and what he will do, and
does not care what the rest of the world thinks of it.<br>
<br>
Bush's rush to get rid of Saddam cannot be because the latter is a bad
man. There are other dictators as brutal and unstable as he (Kim
Jong-il is only the most notable among them), and Bush is in no rush
to depose them. Nor can it be because of what the UN weapons
inspectors had to say last week, pleased though the President would
have been to hear it. I rather think the State of the Union address
was drafted before the Blix report was released.<br>
<br>
And, in any case, what did the inspectors tell us? That the attitude
of Iraqi officials has been one of sullen non-compliance; that there
is no evidence that Iraq has a nuclear-weapons program; that Iraq may
have missiles of greater range than is legally permitted; and that
significant amounts of chemical and biological agents are unaccounted
for. In other words, Iraq has illegally continued research into
chemical and biological weapons and, perhaps, to produce them on a
limited scale, but large stockpiles have not been found. There is no
evidence of a clear and imminent threat to Iraq's neighbours, let
alone to the wider world.</div>
<div><br>
The US Administration, of course, maintains that Iraq is in contact
withal-Qaeda and other terrorist movements, and is capable of
providing them with whatever chemical and biological weapons it may
have secreted somewhere. Again, we await Colin Powell's speech to hear
proof. And, again, it won't matter how persuasive his "evidence"
is anyway. The US Administration has already decided what it will
do.<br>
</div>
<div>On the President's own testimony, a lot of things have already
been decided. Such as that the administration will no longer be
constrained by the need to identify a clear and imminent threat before
launching a military attack. Since when have dictators given notice of
their intentions, the President asked, blithely ignoring the fact that
resort to pre-emptive attacks of the kind he advocates has in the past
been a characteristic of the rogue states he claims to be protecting
us from. If he feels free to violate international law just because he
can, on what basis does he condemn them? Contempt for international
law and the order it sustains is what defines a rogue state.<br>
<br>
And not only will the US make war on whomever it wishes, whenever it
wishes, it is prepared to use "the full force and might" of
its military. This is apparently a declaration that the US no longer
regards its nuclear arsenal as a deterrent only. Is it to be used
against those who possess weapons of mass destruction? The
contradictions multiply.<br>
<br>
This is what is new in the world: a superpower so enraged at the
September 11 attack upon it, and so convinced of its divine mandate,
that it is prepared to trample on the international order it purports
to be defending. George Bush's America has come a long way from that
of Franklin Roosevelt and his four freedoms. The obfuscators are not
only wrong to compare Hitler and Saddam; they also do violence to
history when they ignore the ideals of those who defeated Hitler.<br>
<br>
Ray Cassin is a staff writer.<br>
E-mail: rcassin@theage.com.au</div>
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