On Mon, 12 Apr 2004, Doug Henwood wrote:
> C. G. Estabrook wrote:
>
> >I'm surprised to see you write this dismissively about the US concern for
> >control of oil, Doug. Bush & friends didn't scheme to invade the Congo,
> >with far more enormities than Iraq (and of course no one in the USG --
> >with the possible exception of Bush himself -- really thought that a
> >threat from Iraq was the motive). Chomsky quotes Eisenhower-era comments
> >about Saudi oil's being "a stupendous source of strategic power, and one
> >of the greatest material prizes in world history," and that's no less true
> >now. After WWII the US elbowed Britain (and France) aside to control
> >Mideast oil, staged the paradigm CIA overthrow in Iran to secure it, and
> >grew increasingly exercised on the subject in the Reagan years when the EU
> >looked like moiling about in the Middle East -- or even establishing
> >independent energy sources in Russia. I think one could argue that a
> >paramount US concern in reducing the Russian economy to Third-world status
> >(GDP smaller than Brazil) in the 1990s was to be sure that Russian gas and
> >oil were rightly guided. And it would be difficult to explain the US
> >support for Israel since 1967 if weren't for Israel's being the cop on the
> >beat to guard against domestic radicalism in the oil-producing states. I
> >know neither you nor I think that US policies vis-a-vis Israel are the
> >result of the occult and irresistible influence of the pro-Israel lobby...
>
> Let me try this one more time. The Bush admin may think all these
> things about the control of oil; I'm trying to determine how accurate
> and rational their beliefs are. As I've said, I don't get the
> economic payoff, except maybe in the narrow sectoral sense that some
> specific oil companies might benefit, but not U.S. capital as a
> whole. (The not-a-dime's-worth-of-difference crowd will resist this,
> because there can't be much difference between Bush and the others.)
> I'm skeptical of the strategic payoff, since the strategic exercise
> of this control would be an act of war, and if you're going to wage
> war, it's a lot more efficient to go after your target country than
> to try to "control" the producing regions. I'm not persuaded by
> quotes from Chomsky; just because he says something doesn't make it
> true, nor am I persuaded that 50-year old quotes from Ike are
> relevant to the state of the world in 2004. It seems to me that a lot
> of these arguments come from people on autopilot.
>