----- Original Message ----- From: "Chuck Grimes" <cgrimes at rawbw.com>
Oh that's rich. What happens to energy in 2009 is something I forgot to mention. Okay. The Saudis might do the unthinkable in some indefinite manifold of the future so for the sake of paraconsistancy the Bush vision invaded Iraq in 2003 as a pre-emptive strike to end it all before it begins.
I like it.
It has a certain, how do you say, une suite sans fin? Or as Doug would have it, un avant gout de la boeuf messianique.
Charles du Grimaud
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Vis a Vis SA, my guess is the Bushies, the Beltway elites and Big Oil corporate officers fear an Iran-in-1979 problem from coming to pass. I'm not a monocausalist on this war. I appreciate the hell out of Keynesian uncertainty, but my own experience of working in DC and in a Fortune 500 corp. leads me to believe they're planning intensively for all kinds of worst case scenarios; we shouldn't fetishize an imputed myopia just because we can't see the forest for the trees right now. Weber. State Secrets. And all that.
http://csis.org/burke/saudi21/040219_prospectsforstability.pdf The Prospects for Stability in Saudi Arabia in 2004 Anthony H. Cordesman Arleigh A. Burke Chair in Strategy Center for Strategic and International Studies February 19, 2003
The Thirty-Year Itch
Three decades ago, in the throes of the energy crisis, Washington's hawks conceived of a strategy for US control of the Persian Gulf's oil. Now, with the same strategists firmly in control of the White House, the Bush administration is playing out their script for global dominance.
By Robert Dreyfuss
March/April 2003 Issue http://www.motherjones.com/news/feature/2003/03/ma_273_01.html
The Geopolitics of Energy into the 21st Century: The Report of the CSIS Strategic Energy Initiative http://csis.org/sei/
http://csis.org/energy/040224_baqiandsaleri.pdf Fifty-Year Crude Oil Supply Scenarios: Saudi Aramco's Perspective Mahmoud M. Abdul Baqi Nansen G. Saleri
February 24, 2004 CSIS, Washington D.C.