>I forwarded Shane Mage's idea for the only reputable poll, all
>others being crap, to AAPOR. A couple of early responses:
>
>* Brits do these polls all the time - "swing" is big in Brit psephology.
>
>* In the U.S., they do ask whom people voted for in 2000, but the
>reported results don't match the original - people inflate their
>vote for the winner.
This is amazing. So the "credibility" of US polls rests on the proposition that some proportion of their sample consists of liars about voting behavior who nevertheless are telling the truth about voting intentions?
Shane