The monthly employment estimates and the household surveys are giving completely different messages each month. Last month, there were massive job gains according to the household survey. Now, there's little doubt that the establishment survey is more reliable, but it's not "creationism" to suspect that there are statistical problems in the establishment survey given these wide divergences.
And to repeat, you just can't convince me that the statistics are accurate for a whole range of workers in the informal economy, from undocumented workers to "independence contractors" to sweatshop laborers, whose work is not on any clear statistical radars. To argue such workers involve only a few percent of the workforce is hardly persuasive, since they are likely to involve a disproportionate share of any fluxuation in job creation and destruction.
Nathan Newman