[lbo-talk] Teixeira: Swift Boat campaign is a disaster for Repugs

Doug Henwood dhenwood at panix.com
Mon Aug 30 07:46:21 PDT 2004


Michael Pollak wrote:


>
>[He thinks the LAT poll that shows Bush pulling into the lead, and
>doing so an account of the Swift Boat Attack, does neither:
>
>http://www.emergingdemocraticmajorityweblog.com/donkeyrising/archives/000619.php
>
><quote>
>
>But the Bush campaign made a profound miscalculation. In the L.A.
>Times survey, only 18% of the voters had been convinced that "Kerry
>misrepresented his war record and does not deserve his war medals"
>while 58% said Kerry "fought honorably and does deserve" them.
>Independent voters sided with Kerry 5 to 1. Even men and
>self-described conservatives - groups that are normally quite
>pro-Bush - strongly supported Kerry, by 59 to 19 for men and 42 to
>29 for conservatives. Other polls, such as the Fox/Opinion Dynamics
>and Annenberg Center for Public Policy survey found similar
>attitudes. In the Fox poll, even most veterans held, by 50% to 21%
>that Kerry deserved his purple hearts.

But even if the strategy only convinces, say, 1 out of 5, it's a net gain. Or raises enough doubt that Kerry has to spend time fighting the charges - and doing it badly, undermining his whole tough guy pose.

Doug



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