[lbo-talk] Keiretsu Capital

Stephen Philion philion at hawaii.edu
Mon Jan 12 21:42:09 PST 2004


Everything I've read/heard/seen about China suggests there's been massive job creation; overall, real incomes do seem to be rising; mainland firms are climbing the technology ladder very quickly; investment levels are very high (maybe 30% of GDP, or higher); China's foreign reserves keep swelling; and Taiwan continues to flourish. What's the evidence to the contrary? (A real, not a rhetorical, question.)

-- DRR

--surely that cannot be all that you've heard?

http://tinyurl.com/3bgnj

China frets over unemployment, weak rural incomes

Reuters | 26 aug 03 China faces severe urban unemployment and flagging rural incomes despite sizzling industrial expansion fuelling the risk of overheating, state media quoted a top government official on Tuesday as saying. "We should keep a cool head and see the contradictions and difficulties in economic and social development as the national economy improves," the Financial News quoted Ma Kai, head of the State Development and Reform Commission, as saying.

Top leaders have warned that a failure to tackle unemployment could lead to unrest and damage China's modernisation drive.

The average per-capita income for Chinese farmers was just 1,158 yuan ($140) in the first half of this year, lagging far behind 4,300 yuan for urban residents, official figures showed.

However, excessive investment and growth of the steel, building materials and automobile sectors could fuel overcapacity and lead to economic overheating, Ma said.

China is aiming to create eight million new jobs this year to help keep the official urban jobless rate below 4.5 per cent, but Ma said the going would be tough.

"The task to create eight million new positions this year is very arduous, while farmers face some new difficulties in increasing their incomes," he was quoted as saying.

.... see also http://tinyurl.com/2oeo8

steve

steve



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