>Yoshie on movements vs. swing-voters:
>
>>The reason why grassroots organizing's capacity to mobilize and
>>politicize people is central to social-movement building _but
>>matters little in an election_ is that elections (especially
>>money-and-media-driven elections like American ones) give
>>disproportionate weight and power to moderate fence-sitters who are
>>"undecided" until the very last minute, whereas social movements
>>are powered by those who have strong opinions (be they on the left
>>or the right), make up their minds quickly, and actually spend time
>>and energy contributing to movement-building.
>
>Doesn't this sum up the strategic differences between the Repubs and
>Dems as well? My impression has been that the right Repubs, from
>the defeat of Goldwater back when, built a social movement that
>first bore fruit with Reagan in '80. Sure, it helps to have lots of
>$$$, but they wanted to build a committed and activist base with
>that $$$, not try to sell their candidates at the last minute to
>people who hadn't made up their minds.
Republican moneybags are willing to fund the far right, but Democratic moneybags won't fund the far left -- instead, folks like Soros give to MoveOn.org and the like. Social democrats despise the left more than they fear the right.
>To the Dems: I say to you, thou art neither hot nor cold. I would
>thou wert hot or cold. But since thou art neither hot nor cold, but
>lukewarn, I would spew thee from my mouth--except that four more
>years of Bush the Younger is too horrible to contemplate.
Elections are hardly the only means of "regime change." If the "Anybody But Bush" crowd really meant what they said, i.e. if they were in fact serious about the dangers of four more years of Bush and believed that they must stop Bush by any means necessary (rather than simply trying to scare Greens and other independents into backing any Democratic nominee), they would be studying "regime changes" in the past, from Iran to Yugoslavia to Venezuela (their conditions, strategies, tactics, successes, failures, etc., be they "regime changes" by the left or the right). But they aren't serious -- they will accept four more years of Bush if Bush wins, though not without bitching and moaning.
Cf.
***** International Socialist Review Issue 9, August-September 2000 The Iranian Revolution By Saman Sepehri
. . . Although the Iranian revolution of 1979 resulted in the installation of Ayatollah Khomeini and the Islamic Republic, it was the mobilization of the working class and the poor that brought the Shah's regime to its knees. In 1975, a drop in oil revenues -- Iran's main source of income -- led to a serious economic crisis. This set the stage for the protests that eventually toppled the Shah's regime.
In June 1977, the first protests against the Shah in 14 years took place involving thousands of slum dwellers from Tehran, Iran's capital city. Cuts in wages also sparked strikes, which peaked in July when General Motors workers set the factory on fire in protest.3
The protests by workers and the urban poor forced the Shah to allow some dissent in order to vent the anger against him. This encouraged other sectors of society to openly protest the regime. Intellectuals, who had been silenced by the regime, the clergy (known as mullahs) and their allies -- the traditional merchants, shopkeepers and small business owners (known as the Bazaar) who had felt left out of the earlier economic boom and squeezed by foreign companies -- joined the protests.
Between October 1977 and September 1978, anti-Shah protests grew from weekly to daily events. The protests culminated in a demonstration of some 2 million people in Tehran on September 7, 1978. It was among the largest demonstrations in history. In response, the Shah imposed martial law and his troops massacred more than 2,000 demonstrators.
While the street demonstrations were a massive show of force, it was the subsequent strikes that broke the back of the Shah's regime. When martial law threatened to end the protests, Iran's 30,000 oil workers struck. They brought the country to a standstill. This gave the revolution new momentum, sparking a mass strike wave.
Workers struck and took over factories, offices, hospitals and universities nationwide. They set up democratic workers' committees (called shoras), and either bypassed or simply chased out owners and managers. Slum dwellers set up neighborhood committees around local mosques. As the Shah's army and the police began to disintegrate, these committees took over the patrolling of the neighborhoods.
The main left organizations -- People's Fedayeen, People's Mojahedin guerrillas and the Communist Tudeh Party -- which for years had been repressed brutally by the Shah, resurfaced during the revolution and enjoyed great popularity. As the army began to disintegrate, the Fedayeen and the Mojahedin guerrillas took the initiative and urged sections of the armed forces, notably the air force cadets, to mutiny and arm the people in the streets.
On February 11, 1979, with sections of the Shah's army in rebellion, Khomeini's forces and his coalition of clergy and liberal capitalist politicians took power. Khomeini, just returned from exile, had since the early 1960s been identified as a religious leader who had conducted an extended propaganda campaign against the Shah.
It was the working class who had been crucial in giving the movement new impetus and moving the struggle to a new level at vital points in September. And it had been workers' strikes, especially the oil workers' strike, that had broken the back of the regime. But if the workers' committees and the mass strikes had played a crucial role in the revolution, why had the religious opposition taken power?
Phil Marshall explains that "while the level of organization within the factories, plants and offices was high, there was little co-ordination outside the workplaces."4 He describes a situation in which the strike committees "held control in hundreds of workplaces. But nowhere were the committees moving towards a co-ordinated attack on the structure of the capitalist system."5
If the workers' strike committees that had made the revolution possible did not lead it, the neighborhood committees built around the mosques played a key role in allowing the clergy to take control of the movement.6 The strike committees were the channels through which the working class could express its opposition to the regime and organize against it, but the neighborhood committees (komitehs) and the neighborhood mosques became organizing poles for the marginalized urban poor. This was aided by the fact that throughout his rule, the Shah was more tolerant of religious opposition, allowing a small space for the mullahs to express their views while other forces were completely smashed.
Khomeini and the clergy did not gain leadership by advocating the wearing of the veil for women, that minority religions be suppressed, and so on. Khomeini offered up radical, populist rhetoric and portrayed Islam as a religion of the poor and oppressed. Marshall describes the effect of this strategy on the movement:
While the mullahs could not mobilize the working class, they could dominate the movement of the streets and through Khomeini's radical rhetoric, project themselves as the embodiment of the national opposition.7
The failure of the left was also crucial in allowing Khomeini's forces to take power. The workers and the left could have challenged both the Shah's regime and the mullahs' leadership based on the power of the workers' strike committees. But their political strategy made this impossible. Both the Fedayeen and Mojahedin guerrillas had years ago dismissed organizing the Iranian working class and had turned to underground armed activity as a substitute in order to spark a change.
Moreover, they had accepted a two-stage strategy for the Iranian revolution. They argued that since Iran was not ready for socialism, the left should limit itself to bringing about a democratic change by building a broad coalition involving liberal capitalists and the clergy, before the question of workers' power and socialism could be raised at some future date. Instead of building and extending the workers' committees, much of the left subordinated workers' interests to building a coalition with the clergy and liberals who were hostile to the working class. They argued that the main task was to maintain unity in the movement in order to get rid of the Shah's dictatorship.
As a result, the revolution brought to power Khomeini's forces -- which appointed a government of bourgeois liberal politicians led by Mehdi Bazargan. It was, as Shaul Bakhsh wrote, "a cabinet of engineers, lawyers, educators, doctors and former civil servants, men drawn from the professional middle class."8
Although Bazargan and the liberal capitalists were later purged from the government, the clergy and the liberals did have a common goal at the time -- to bring the workers' movement under control and quell the movements of Iran's national minorities. Only three days after the insurrection, Khomeini ordered all striking workers to return to work. Within a month the government threatened:
Any disobedience from and sabotage of the implementation of the plans of the Provisional Government will be regarded as opposition against the genuine Islamic Revolution. The provocateurs and agents will be introduced to the people as counter-revolutionary elements, so that the nation will decide about them.9
The provisional government used a range of tactics to destroy workers' control. Competing Islamic committees were set up at workplaces to sideline the shoras. Neighborhood committees under government control were strengthened as a way to weaken the workplace committees. Where these tactics did not work, businesses that had been taken over by the workers were allowed to fail as a way to dissolve the workers' committees. Finally, if this failed, brute force was used to make the workers turn over control to either the owners or the state.
At the same time, a military offensive was launched against Kurds and other national minorities who had gained some autonomy during the revolution. This destroyed the last foothold for the left.
Then, in the fall of 1979, supporters of Khomeini stormed the U.S. embassy in Tehran and took 52 American diplomats hostage. With the takeover of the U.S. embassy and the 444-day "hostage crisis" that ensued, Khomeini was able to label any dissent as the work of U.S. imperialism. This enabled him to not only suppress the left, but to rid himself of the liberals in the government.
After the invasion of Iran by Iraq and the start of the eight-year Iran-Iraq war, the Islamic government crushed all opposition, fully consolidating its power.
The 1979 Iranian revolution was an impressive display of the power of the Iranian working class. It showed the potential that existed for working-class rule through the workers' committees. But it also showed the shortcomings of the Iranian left and the workers' movement.
Today, many of the problems faced by the working class and the poor who led the revolution of 1979 have resurfaced more acutely. The rhetoric of anti-imperialism used by the Islamic regime rings hollow to many who are faced with unemployment and falling living standards. Iran today is still greatly dependent on its diminishing oil income, which has to feed a population twice that of 1979. The ruling Islamic regime is faced with a serious crisis and splits between conservatives and the reformist forces behind Mohammad Khatami, the new president. Khatami's experiment with greater democracy -- laced with austerity measures -- could thrust Iranian workers back to the center stage of struggle in a way not seen since the 1979 revolution.
<http://www.isreview.org/issues/09/iranian_revolution.shtml> ***** -- Yoshie
* Bring Them Home Now! <http://www.bringthemhomenow.org/> * Calendars of Events in Columbus: <http://www.osu.edu/students/sif/calendar.html>, <http://www.freepress.org/calendar.php>, & <http://www.cpanews.org/> * Student International Forum: <http://www.osu.edu/students/sif/> * Committee for Justice in Palestine: <http://www.osudivest.org/> * Al-Awda-Ohio: <http://groups.yahoo.com/group/Al-Awda-Ohio> * Solidarity: <http://www.solidarity-us.org/>