[lbo-talk] NH: not a psephologist's graveyard after all

Doug Henwood dhenwood at panix.com
Fri Jan 30 08:15:47 PST 2004


A GOOD DAY FOR THE POLLSTERS The Accuracy of Pre-Election Tracking Polls in New Hampshire

Despite the jokes about the glut of pre-election tracking polls in New Hampshire, these surveys were remarkably accurate in predicting the outcome of the race. And an analysis shows that when accumulated together, they provided a virtually perfect snapshot of the New Hampshire electorate’s voting intentions. Added together, the surveys predicted the level of support for every candidate within a single percentage point.

For full analysis, see: http://people-press.org/commentary/display.php3?AnalysisID=84

Michael Dimock Research Director Pew Research Center for the People and the Press http://people-press.org



More information about the lbo-talk mailing list