[lbo-talk] Fwd: Kerry Leading in New Mexico and Michigan

Doug Henwood dhenwood at panix.com
Fri Jul 9 10:20:53 PDT 2004


Guilherme wrote:


>lots of national polls at:
>
>http://www.pollingreport.com/wh2004.htm
>
>Weird how the foxnews ones are so different. Do they just project an aura
>or something?

Yup, they are outliers (and maybe outliars too!). Ruy Teixera speculated the other week that it was the way they weight their samples, overestimating the number of Republicans in the population, and so inflating the opinions of the Republicans in the sample. Weighting by party is a very nonstandard technique.

Doug



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