[lbo-talk] more polling data

[Doug Henwood]

Frank Newport, editor-in-chief of Gallup (who'll be on my radio show 
a week from Thursday), writes:


>Gallup Poll data show that of the five most recent incumbents to win
>re-election -- Eisenhower 56, Johnson 64, Nixon 72, Reagan 84, and
>Clinton 96 -- none were behind their opponents among registered voters
>at any point after January of their election year. 
>
>Truman obviously was behind his opponent in polling conducted in 1948,
>yet went on to win.

W, of course, has been behind - 50-46% in the latest Gallup poll, 
excluding Nader; with Nader, it's 50-45% with Nader at 2% (down from 
a high of 5% in May).

Doug