> Future fodder for someone's thesis on the failure of polling.
Doug can provide much more data from AAPOR but, I'll just say, as a former employee of the (Mervin) Field Poll in Ca. founded in '45, that the Field Poll from 1948 to 2000, was within 1%+or- of the Nov. Pres. popular vote.
In Defense of Public Opinion Polling by Kenneth Warren, Hardcover 384 pages (June 1, 2001) Publisher: Westview Press. -- Michael Pugliese