-----Original Message----- From: lbo-talk-bounces at lbo-talk.org [mailto:lbo-talk-bounces at lbo-talk.org]On Behalf Of Wojtek Sokolowski Sent: Wednesday, March 03, 2004 12:40 PM To: lbo-talk at lbo-talk.org Subject: RE: [lbo-talk] Naive Qs
Doug:
> Dunno where the 1.4m figure comes from. According to the BLS's survey
> of households, employment has risen by 1.1m over the last year.
> According to the survey of employers (the "establishment" survey),
> employment has declined by 35,000. According to the BLS, the
> establishment survey is more reliable (larger sample than the HH
> survey, and there are great difficulties involved in expanding the HH
> sample into national figures, because of changes in the population
> between decennial censuses). Normally the difference between the two
> surveys is pretty small, but the discrepancies over the last year or
> two have been unusually wide.
You can also check the data from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (aka ES-202) that produces near-census quality of employment and wages covered by the unemployment Insurance (UI). The last year they published on line is 2002, but 2003 is coming soon.
Their table at http://www.bls.gov/cew/ew02table1.pdf shows a decline in employment between 2001 and 2001 by about 1.4 m - all of it in the private sector (government employment grew in the same time).
Wojtek
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