[lbo-talk] Blair, Bush & Kerry

Joseph Wanzala jwanzala at hotmail.com
Sun Mar 7 15:12:43 PST 2004


http://news.scotsman.com/international.cfm?id=263012004

The Democrats are looking to London for help and Mr Blair’s allies are itching to help Kerry unseat President Bush. New Labour was forged from ideas borrowed, or lifted wholesale, from Bill Clinton’s New Democrats. The two parties are cut from the same cloth.

.......At the back of Mr Blair’s mind will be a horrid image of the coalition for war with Iraq becoming a trio of election losers. On the eve of the invasion, it was Mr Bush and José Maria Aznar of Spain who flew to the Azores to demonstrate their international alliance.

Twelve months on, Mr Aznar is preparing to leave office and Mr Bush faces the prospect of defeat in November. Mr Blair could enter 2005 looking increasingly isolated, the sole apologist for the war and failures of reconstruction.

A successful Democrat presidency would only beef up the US investigation into intelligence failures, which is due to report in spring 2005.

"If John Kerry becomes President, Tony Blair is isolated in the world on Iraq. He faces an American intelligence inquiry which John Kerry would almost certainly reconstitute," said Steve Morgan, a Labour adviser.

Such a scenario leaves Mr Blair with good reason to be ambiguous about the result of the election.

His heart may will the Democrats - but his head may well prefer a second Bush term.

Some believe this comes back to domestic politics - could Mr Blair be reluctant to find President Kerry too eager to revive the main relationship with Mr Gordon Brown?

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