[lbo-talk] Re: Bush's Poll Number Go Up
Nathan Newman
nathanne at nathannewman.org
Tue Mar 30 13:21:25 PST 2004
Here are the major recent polls with the change from the last poll by each
outfit. After Bush had a series of bad weeks where he was trailing Kerry in
most polls, his ad blitz basically took him to even with Kerry (except for
Gallup, where he had a small leg up). This is hardly overwhelming numbers
after such an ad blitz. This election is going to go back and forth for
months-- where it will be won is by the slow and steady growth of grassroots
mobilization by the unions, enviros, civil rights groups, womens groups and
others who are doing large step-by-step outreach. It's frigging March and
these numbers mean nothing other than Bush is extremely vulnerable, since
any incumbent not consistently breaking 50% is always in danger.
National
Gallup 3/26-28
Bush: 51 (+7)
Kerry: 47 (-5)
Pew 3/22-28
Bush: 44 (+2)
Kerry: 43 (-6)
Newsweek 3/25-26
Bush: 47 (-1)
Kerry: 48 (-)
Fox 3/23-24
Bush: 44 (-)
Kerry: 44 (-)
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