[lbo-talk] Re: CHAVEZ THANKS PUTIN FOR VENEZUELA SUPPORT

Chris Doss lookoverhere1 at yahoo.com
Mon Nov 29 10:49:43 PST 2004


I haven't read the NY piece, and God knows I'm far from an epidemiologist, but my humch is no. I think the alarmism is probably the result of a combination of understandable scare tactics on the part of Russian health care officials on the Western press's inclination to see a crisis in Russia every couple of monyhs (remember the great summer "Russian banking crisis" that never happened?). At least a couple of years ago when I last saw the stats, 94% of HIV infections in Russia were the result of needle sharing by IV drug addicts. My hunch is that it will burn through the IV drug-using population (which is large) and the street prostitute population (those two overlap considerably), plus women infected by their IV-drug-using partners, and then stabilize like it has seemingly everywhere else except sub-Saharan Africa.

--- Eugene Vilensky <evilensky at gmail.com> wrote:


> Chriss,
>
> re: The New Yorker piece on AIDS in Russia, is it
> really likely to get
> as bad as Sub-saharan Africa within a decade?

===== Nu, zayats, pogodi!

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