On Tue, 19 Oct 2004, Doug Henwood wrote:
> Miles Jackson wrote:
>
> >Let's be fair: we need to compare polls closer to election day to
> >the actual outcome to assess the accuracy of the polls. Cue Doug?
>
>
> Most had Bush ahead, by an average of 2 points. Ralph's final numbers
> were almost twice as high as they actual vote.
>
Given the typical sampling error of 3 or 4 points, all of the poll results Doug provided are reasonably accurate estimates of the true population parameters here (% of votes for each candidate). Chalk one up for probability sampling, and color me impressed.
Miles