[lbo-talk] Time Poll: Huge Bounce For Bush

Luke Weiger lweiger at umich.edu
Sat Sep 4 11:15:48 PDT 2004

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Before the Swift Boat Veterans for Obfuscation campaign, independents who were aware of Kerry's service record overwhelmingly favored him over Bush. It was smart strategy on Kerry's to play up his service. What would you have done about the SBVT?

-- Luke

----- Original Message -----

From: srobin21 at comcast.net

To: lbo-talk at lbo-talk.org

Sent: Saturday, September 04, 2004 2:01 PM

Subject: Re: [lbo-talk] Time Poll: Huge Bounce For Bush

Well, of course Bush got a 'bounce' after the GOP Convention. What is unusual is that Kerry got no 'bounce' out of the Democrat Convention. Further, the Bush team is much better at mobilizing public opinion than the Kerry New Democrats, who are extraordinarily inept at that. They have tried to out flag wave the Republicans and got hit by the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth. They have an issue on which Bush is vulnerable (the War in Iraq) and have effectively spurned it, They are (at best) mealy mouthed in their opposition and at worst, supportive of it. So why are the poll numbers surprizing? The Democrats, it appears, are in the midst of a Dukakis style melt down. Steve

-------------- Original message --------------

> >

> Was anybody not expecting a Bush lead after the conventions, after

> a week of unchallenged Bush propaganda? I thought incumbents that are

> tied are in serious trouble, and those with leads slightly smaller than

> this one are basically tied? The Dems have to keep it cool. Everyone I

> know -- though not in the campaign I'm afraid they reflect on the state of

> affairs -- has been acting like its over. The Dems are going to need much

> more sangfroid if they want to face the Rovinator. Did people really

> think that the statistical Kerry lead / tie -- which is trouble for the

> incumbent -- was just going to last all the way through Nov?

> -gr