[lbo-talk] APSA Panelists on Dubya & the Polls

Michael Pugliese michael098762001 at earthlink.net
Sat Sep 4 14:33:45 PDT 2004


<URL: http://chronicle.com/temp/email.php?id=h8o3bh6nskvghmfkzj0lp61fmtyada3o > via, http://www.crookedtimber.org/archives/002437.html
> ...September 03, 2004
More on Bush and Public Opinion Posted by Henry

As a supplement (or possible corrective) to my last post, this article by David Glenn in the Chronicle of Higher Education notes that six out of seven quantitative models presented at the APSA yesterday predict that Bush will win the popular vote. Note that these models aren’t trying to do the same thing as Erik and Paul’s paper - they’re predictive (sort of) rather than analytic. Note also that modelling has had a mixed success in predicting outcomes in the past. Still, all caveats aside, it’s an interesting datum.

Updated thanks to comments. Posted on September 3, 2004 02:50 PM UT

-- Michael Pugliese



More information about the lbo-talk mailing list